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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Southeastern Louisiana at South Alabama

South Alabama favored by 24.5 ยท total 53.5

Southeastern LouisianaLions

Away ยท Southland

+24.5

+1200

โ€”

ML

South AlabamaJaguars

Home ยท Sun Belt

-24.5

-2800

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadSoutheastern Louisiana +24.5+1200
SpreadSouth Alabama -24.5-2800
TotalOver 53.5+1200
TotalUnder 53.5-2800

Returning production

SE LouisianaSouth Alabama
Overallโ€”79%
Passingโ€”95%
Rushingโ€”62%
Receivingโ€”80%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -12.5 to -24.5 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 14 and 17 and 21 and 24, changing the result in 16.5% of historical games.
  • A total of 53.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

SE LouisianapercentileSouth Alabama

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)40
โ€”Success rate38
โ€”Explosiveness34
โ€”Points per trip71

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed13
โ€”Success rate allowed35
โ€”Havoc29
โ€”Stuff rate24

Last three seasons

South Alabama

9-13 ATS ยท 9-13 SU

10-12 O/U ยท 3-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 24.5 โ€” the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 53.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total53.5O +1200 ยท U -2800

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -12.5 and the total at 52.5 across 200 checks between Aug 10 โ€“ Aug 29. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.