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Sat, Sep 19 ยท 4:30 PM ET

Southeastern Louisiana at ULM

ULM favored by 9.5 ยท total 48.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Southeastern LouisianaLions

Away ยท Southland

+9.5

โ€”

ML

ULMWarhawks

Home ยท Sun Belt

-9.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadSoutheastern Louisiana +9.5โ€”
SpreadULM -9.5โ€”
TotalOver 48.5โ€”
TotalUnder 48.5โ€”

Returning production

SE LouisianaUL Monroe
Overallโ€”39%
Passingโ€”78%
Rushingโ€”16%
Receivingโ€”26%

The read

  • At 9.5 the line sits just short of 10, so the games decided by exactly 10 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from -10.5 to -9.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 10, changing the result in 2.5% of historical games.
  • A total of 48.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

SE LouisianapercentileUL Monroe

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)3
โ€”Success rate33
โ€”Explosiveness4
โ€”Points per trip14

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed13
โ€”Success rate allowed22
โ€”Havoc11
โ€”Stuff rate7

Last three seasons

UL Monroe

9-12 ATS ยท 6-15 SU

11-10 O/U ยท 4-5 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 9.5 โ€” the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.
  • Total 48.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total48.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-10.5 โ†’ -9.5+1.0

Total

48.5 โ†’ 48.5unmoved

crossed 10 ยท flips 2.5%136 checks ยท Sep 15 โ€“ Sep 19

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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