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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 3:00 PM ET

Tennessee State at Georgia

Georgia favored by 60.5 ยท total 66.5

Tennessee StateTigers

Away ยท OVC

+60.5

-3200

โ€”

ML

GeorgiaBulldogs

Home ยท SEC

-60.5

+1300

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadTennessee State +60.5-3200
SpreadGeorgia -60.5+1300
TotalOver 66.5+950
TotalUnder 66.5-1950

Returning production

Tennessee StateGeorgia
Overallโ€”69%
Passingโ€”100%
Rushingโ€”99%
Receivingโ€”35%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -44.5 to -60.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 66.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Tennessee StatepercentileGeorgia

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)85
โ€”Success rate90
โ€”Explosiveness7
โ€”Points per trip95

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed71
โ€”Success rate allowed75
โ€”Havoc40
โ€”Stuff rate64

Last three seasons

Georgia

10-17 ATS ยท 22-5 SU

11-16 O/U ยท 4-8 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 60.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 66.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total66.5O +950 ยท U -1950

Line movement

Spread (home)

-44.5 โ†’ -47.5-3.0

Total

56.5 โ†’ 55.5-1.0

flips 2.7%200 checks ยท Aug 10 โ€“ Aug 29

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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