Sat, Sep 5 ยท 10:00 PM ET
UNLV at Hawaii
UNLV favored by 14.5

UNLVRebels
Away ยท Mountain West
-14.5
-3500
โ
ML

HawaiiRainbow Warriors
Home ยท Mountain West
+14.5
+1400
โ
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ or as well โ and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| UNLV | Hawai'i | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15% | 65% |
| Passing | 4% | 91% |
| Rushing | 31% | 21% |
| Receiving | 14% | 52% |
The read
- At 14.5 the line sits just past 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from 1.5 to 14.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 3 and 7 and 10 and 14, changing the result in 22.2% of historical games.
- SP+ and the market differ by 12.9 points โ SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
UNLV
13-12 ATS ยท 18-7 SU
11-14 O/U ยท 7-5 away
Hawai'i
14-9-1 ATS ยท 13-11 SU
9-15 O/U ยท 11-2-1 home
A record, not a signal โ we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 14.5 โ the 14-17 point band. In 708 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 52.8% of the time โ a coin flip once the 95% range (49.1โ56.5%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ see every band.
SP+ team strength ยท 2026
SP+ implies Hawaii +1.6 versus the market's +14.5 โ a 12.9-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick โ tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
1.5 โ 14.5+13.0
Total
58.5 โ 31.5-27.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.
