Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
UTSA at Texas State
Texas State favored by 1.5 · total 64.5
UTSARoadrunners
Away · American Athletic
+1.5
-110
-102
ML
Texas StateBobcats
Home · Pac-12
-1.5
-110
-118
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| UTSA | Texas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 67% | 76% |
| Passing | 93% | 100% |
| Rushing | 36% | 48% |
| Receiving | 61% | 79% |
The read
- A total of 64.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
UTSA
14-11 ATS · 14-11 SU
17-7-1 O/U · 3-9 away
Texas State
10-14 ATS · 13-11 SU
12-12 O/U · 5-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 1.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 64.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Texas State -1.9 versus the market's -1.5
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Tracking started recently — movement appears once we have at least two snapshots for this game. We store one every few hours.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.