Sat, Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Kentucky favored by 9.5 · total 52.5
VanderbiltCommodores
Away · SEC
+9.5
-105
+310
ML
KentuckyWildcats
Home · SEC
-9.5
-115
-395
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Vanderbilt | Kentucky | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35% | 19% |
| Passing | 9% | -3%* |
| Rushing | 50% | -9%* |
| Receiving | 50% | 35% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- At 9.5 the line sits just short of 10, so the games decided by exactly 10 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 10.0 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Vanderbilt
16-7 ATS · 14-9 SU
14-8-1 O/U · 7-2 away
Kentucky
11-12 ATS · 9-14 SU
10-13 O/U · 7-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 9.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2–54.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 52.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Kentucky +0.5 versus the market's -9.5 — a 10.0-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -9.5 and the total at 52.5 across 84 checks between Oct 14 – Oct 16. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.