Fri, Sep 11 · 7:00 PM ET
Villanova at Louisville
Louisville favored by 36.5 · total 55.5
VillanovaWildcats
Away · Patriot
+36.5
-112
—
ML
LouisvilleCardinals
Home · ACC
-36.5
-108
—
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Villanova | Louisville | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 35% |
| Passing | — | 0% |
| Rushing | — | 85% |
| Receiving | — | 18% |
The read
- A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Villanova
3-1 ATS · 1-3 SU
2-2 O/U · 3-0 away
Louisville
10-13 ATS · 15-8 SU
13-10 O/U · 4-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 36.5 — the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5–52.7%) is taken into account.
- Total 55.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -36.5 and the total at 55.5 across 13 checks between Sep 7 – Sep 8. Most college lines sit still until news moves them — 83% of the games we track haven't budged — so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.