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hit rate L10 · 79g
-234
DK- -234
- -131
- -116
$10 wins $36.87
Model picks
All 657 picks →Posted board, Arizona questions
No Friday games are listed, leaving Sunday’s totals, spreads and Arizona’s injury report in focus.
Read the full briefing →Close briefing
No NFL games are listed for Friday. The posted schedule resumes Sunday, led by WAS Commanders @ DAL Cowboys with a 50.5 total, the largest total posted. MIA Dolphins @ SF 49ers has the largest home spread at SF -13.5. SEA Seahawks @ ARI Cardinals is listed at 40.5, while NY Giants @ LA Rams follows Monday at 48.5.
Arizona’s report warrants attention before Seattle arrives: Isaiah Adams (knee) and Isaac Seumalo (shoulder) were limited Thursday, while Garrett Williams (Achilles) was estimated as limited Wednesday. Kitan Crawford (ankle) has been placed on injured reserve. Our model likes Spencer Shrader’s Kicking Points Over 7.5 at 164, with a 71.4% hit rate over the last 10.
Shrader kicking profileOur model likes Spencer Shrader Kicking Points Over 7.5 at 164; it hit 71.4% over the last 10.
Kamara dual-yardage numberOur model likes Alvin Kamara Rush + Rec Yards Over 39.5 at 143; it hit 70.0% over the last 10.
Arizona availability watchIsaiah Adams and Isaac Seumalo were limited Thursday, with Garrett Williams estimated limited Wednesday.Number of the day85.7 — Spencer Shrader’s Field Goals Made Over 1.5 hit rate over the last 10.
Sources: ESPN (scoreboard, injuries, news), DraftKings (posted lines), nflverse (production), our model picks. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.
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Worth your attention
All games
CAR@
ATL
-1.5 → 2.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 6.4% of games since 1999.
SEA@
ARI
10 → 3.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 13.5% of games since 1999.
PHI@
TEN
4.5 → 7 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 4.6% of games since 1999.
LV@
LAC
-8.5 → -6.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 7.0% of games since 1999.
NYG@
LA
-9.5 → -7 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 3.1% of games since 1999.
ATL@
GB
-7.5 → -6.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 4.8% of games since 1999.
Devaughn Vele was added in 1,465,800 fantasy leagues in 24 hours.
Devaughn Vele (WR, NO) leads the 24-hour add count. But 8 of the 10 most-added players (80%) are not being drafted at all — that is waiver speculation rather than the draft market re-rating anyone. Most dropped: Kyler Murray (271,312), Jacksonville Jaguars (246,768), MarShawn Lloyd (183,204).
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