Fri, Oct 9 · 9:05 PM ET
Washington State at Utah State
Utah State favored by 4 · total 44.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Washington StateCougars
Away · Pac-12
+4
+154
ML
Utah StateAggies
Home · Pac-12
-4
-185
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Washington State | Utah State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 91% | 65% |
| Passing | 100% | 87% |
| Rushing | 100% | 74% |
| Receiving | 85% | 49% |
The read
- Forecast winds around 17 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones — but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
- 64% chance of rain at kickoff.
- The spread has moved from -3.5 to -4 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 44.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.9 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Washington State
14-9 ATS · 12-11 SU
9-14 O/U · 5-6 away
Utah State
13-8-2 ATS · 9-14 SU
14-9 O/U · 10-1 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 4 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 44.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Utah State -0.1 versus the market's -4 — a 3.9-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-3.5 → -4-0.5
Total
43.5 → 44.5+1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.