All games

Sat, Sep 12 ยท 7:00 PM ET

West Georgia at Arkansas State

Arkansas State favored by 31.5 ยท total 56.5

West GeorgiaWolves

Away ยท UAC

+31.5

-108

+3000

ML

Arkansas StateRed Wolves

Home ยท Sun Belt

-31.5

-112

-10000

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadWest Georgia +31.5-108
SpreadArkansas State -31.5-112
TotalOver 56.5-112
TotalUnder 56.5-108
MoneylineWest Georgia to win+3000
MoneylineArkansas State to win-10000

Returning production

West GeorgiaArkansas State
Overallโ€”30%
Passingโ€”7%
Rushingโ€”-246%*
Receivingโ€”54%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

West GeorgiapercentileArkansas State

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)18
โ€”Success rate48
โ€”Explosiveness7
โ€”Points per trip19

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed34
โ€”Success rate allowed32
โ€”Havoc46
โ€”Stuff rate53

Last three seasons

Arkansas State

13-10 ATS ยท 13-10 SU

10-13 O/U ยท 6-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 31.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 56.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total56.5O -112 ยท U -108

Line movement

The number hasn't moved. The spread has held at -31.5 and the total at 56.5 across 18 checks between Sep 11 โ€“ Sep 12. Most college lines sit still until news moves them โ€” 83% of the games we track haven't budged โ€” so a still number is the normal state, not missing data.

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.