All games

Sat, Sep 19 ยท 4:00 PM ET

Western Kentucky at Indiana

Indiana favored by 44.5 ยท total 60.5

Western KentuckyHilltoppers

Away ยท Conference USA

+44.5

-105

โ€”

ML

IndianaHoosiers

Home ยท Big Ten

-44.5

-115

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadWestern Kentucky +44.5-105
SpreadIndiana -44.5-115
TotalOver 60.5-110
TotalUnder 60.5-110

Returning production

Western KentuckyIndiana
Overall84%17%
Passing95%2%
Rushing55%25%
Receiving85%24%

The read

  • A total of 60.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 19.4 points โ€” the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

Western KentuckypercentileIndiana

With the ball

45Efficiency (PPA)94
57Success rate97
46Explosiveness16
78Points per trip99

Without it

68Efficiency allowed94
86Success rate allowed93
56Havoc99
78Stuff rate99

Last three seasons

Western Kentucky

15-9 ATS ยท 15-9 SU

10-14 O/U ยท 7-5 away

Indiana

18-9 ATS ยท 25-2 SU

17-10 O/U ยท 9-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 44.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 60.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayWestern Kentucky#94 (-7.3)scores 24.2 ยท allows 32
HomeIndiana#5 (+25.8)scores 37.8 ยท allows 12.5

SP+ implies Indiana -25.1 versus the market's -44.5 โ€” a 19.4-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total60.5O -110 ยท U -110

Line movement

Spread (home)

-44.5 โ†’ -44.5unmoved

Total

59.5 โ†’ 60.5+1.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed three times daily; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.