Closing Line Report

What this measures. The difference between the implied probability we posted a pick at and the implied probability of DraftKings' final pre-tip price on the same side of the same line. Positive means we got the better number. It measures price, not profit — beating the close and losing the bet happen all the time.

NBA picks are selected when DraftKings' price beats Pinnacle's line with the vig removed. If that gap is real, this number should stay positive over hundreds of picks. If it drifts to zero, the gap was noise, and this page will show that too.