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−2.8 pts8+ game streaks vs the hitter's own rate

Hitters riding 8+ game streaks got a hit in 64.6% of their next games — which sounds hot, until you compare each one to his own season rate: they were expected to hit in 67.4%. The streak adds nothing (−2.8 pts, z = -1.9). The raw number is high because good hitters are the ones who build streaks. 39,652 games · 432 hitters · 2026

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Is the hot hand real? −2.8 percentage points — 8+ game streaks vs the hitter's own rate.

Computed from game logs · first seen 2026-09-29, updated 2026-10-13

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