⚾ Today's MLB Slate
Saturday, September 5 · 5:12 AM ET
Sale-Sánchez tops a full Friday board
Sixteen games, a Tigers-Guardians doubleheader, and a Sale-Sánchez pitching showcase steer Friday’s baseball board.
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Sixteen games make up Friday's slate, including a Tigers-Guardians doubleheader at Progressive Field. Keider Montero (3.24 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) faces Logan Allen in the opener; Andrew Sears and Foster Griffin follow. The marquee is Atlanta at Philadelphia, listed for 22:40 UTC, with Chris Sale’s 2.06 ERA against Cristopher Sánchez’s 2.52 ERA. Later, Max Fried meets Walker Buehler at Petco Park, while Blake Snell draws Jackson Kent in Los Angeles.
Market traffic is concentrated on totals. The SF@NYM 8.0 has 94% of Over tickets and 96% of Over money, while PHI@ATL 6.5 sits at 94% tickets and 83% money. Our model likes Miguel Vargas 1B Over 0.5 at 112, with 23.2% EV and an 80.0% last-10 hit rate. On injuries, Arizona has Michael Soroka and Zac Gallen scheduled to throw simulated games Friday.
Sale-Sánchez headlineChris Sale brings a 2.06 ERA; Cristopher Sánchez has 202 strikeouts in 175.1 innings.
San Francisco-New York total trafficThe SF@NYM 8.0 has 94% of Over tickets and 96% of Over money.
Miguel Vargas model signalOur model likes Vargas 1B Over 0.5 at 112 with 23.2% EV.Number of the day202 — Cristopher Sánchez has 202 strikeouts in 175.1 innings.
Sources: MLB StatsAPI (schedule, probables, season lines), ESPN (injuries, news), our model picks & market data. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.
💬 Discuss today's slate in DiscordFrom the playbookRegression to the Mean5 min
Where the Money's Moving
Full movementSteam = money pushing the Over price shorter since open · drift = the market cooling. Tap a player for their movement details, the ⓘ for the 5-minute lesson.
Parlay of the Day
3 Legs+497
$10 wins $59.71
Roman Anthony
Total Bases O1.5
Anthony Kay
Hits Allowed O4.5
James Wood
Hits+Runs+RBIs O0.5
100% Club
Perfect L5 hit rate
Hot Streaks
Upcoming Games
All MatchupsLawrence Butler has hit safely in 11 straight games.
Lawrence Butler (OAK) carries the longest active hitting streak we can measure, at 11 games. For scale, a .300 hitter with four at-bats a night reaches base by hit in about 76% of games, so a run this long is roughly a 1-in-20 stretch.
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