NFL · CHI
36%Bears' chance to win on Sep 28
The line swung from Bears -1.5 to +4.5 right after Caleb Williams went down; it's +3.5 now (no-vig moneyline: 36%). Home underdogs of exactly 3.5 since 1999 won 38% of the time (266 games) — the market isn't overreacting to Keenum.
Computed from game logs · first seen 2026-09-28
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