Strategy & Discipline
Bankroll Management: Survive First, Profit Second
5 min read
TL;DR
Decide what your bankroll is, bet 1-2% of it per play, and never change stake size because of how yesterday went. Sizing discipline is the difference between a rough week and a wiped-out account.
The unit system
Your bankroll is money set aside for betting that you can genuinely afford to lose — separate from rent, savings, everything. A unit is your standard bet: 1-2% of bankroll is the sensible range.
$500 bankroll → $5-10 per bet. That feels small. It's supposed to. Even strong bettors hit 10-bet losing streaks; at 2% units that's a bruise, at 20% units it's the whole bankroll.
Flat betting beats clever betting
Bet the same amount on every play of similar confidence. The classic destroyers:
- Chasing: doubling after losses to "get it back" — the fastest path to zero
- Pressing: doubling after wins because you feel hot — variance doesn't care
- Mood sizing: big bets on "locks" — the market already priced your lock
If you want to size up your very best spots, cap it at 2 units and decide before you look at the odds, not after.
Review on a schedule, not after a bad night
Recalculate your unit monthly as the bankroll moves. Track every bet (stake, odds, closing line if you can). Judge months, not nights. Our Results page grades every published pick — wins and losses — because that's the standard honest tracking should meet.
Keep these
- 1-2% of bankroll per bet; recalculate monthly
- Never chase losses or press wins — flat stakes win long-term
- Track everything; judge months, not nights
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