Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNBA Analytics
Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

BOSCeltics·Guard-Forward·#7
Player Intel

Jaylen Brown has been steady, averaging 30.6 points over his last 5 games (30.4 L10). Points is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Over 24.5). Blocks presents more risk (10.0% L10). His shooting has been hot — 52% FG over the last 5 games, up from 48% L10.

Today's Props

DK

Over 4.5

AST-1050
Hit Rate50%
EV+17%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

65%

4
DK

Under 4.5

AST-1250
Hit Rate50%
EV+11%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

40%

L20

35%

4
DK

Over 6.5

AST+3750
Hit Rate30%
EV+32%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

50%

4
DK

Under 10.5

AstReb+1010
Hit Rate40%
EV+17%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

30%

DK

Over 10.5

AstReb-1330
Hit Rate60%
EV+13%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

70%

DK

Over 0.5

BLK+1550
Hit Rate10%
EV-14%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

DK

Under 1.5

FG3M-110MODEL

PHI is a weak #22 defense vs FG3M. well-rested with 7 days off. hit in 80% of last 5 games.

Hit Rate30%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2
DK

Over 1.5

FG3M-1200
Hit Rate70%
EV+29%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

53%

L20

55%

2
DK

Over 2.5

FG3M+2450
Hit Rate30%
EV+21%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

20%

L20

20%

DK

Over 24.5

PTS-139MODEL

Jaylen Brown has gone over 24.5 BLK in 9 of the last 10 games. PHI is a weak #21 defense vs BLK. well-rested with 7 days off.

Hit Rate90%
EV+32%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

73%

L20

65%

DK

Under 25.5

PTS-106MODEL

PHI is a weak #21 defense vs PTS. well-rested with 7 days off. hit in 80% of last 5 games.

Hit Rate10%
EV-16%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

35%

DK

Over 25.5

PTS-1200
Hit Rate90%
EV+36%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

73%

L20

65%

DK

Under 30.5

PtsAst-123MODEL

PHI is a weak #21 defense vs PtsAst. well-rested with 7 days off.

Hit Rate30%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

35%

DK

Over 29.5

PtsAst-129MODEL

Jaylen Brown has gone over 29.5 PTS in 8 of the last 10 games. PHI is a weak #21 defense vs PTS. well-rested with 7 days off.

Hit Rate80%
EV+25%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

70%

DK

Over 30.5

PtsAst-1070
Hit Rate70%
EV+21%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

65%

DK

Under 32.5

PtsReb-1210
Hit Rate30%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

40%

L20

40%

DK

Over 34.5

PtsReb+1380
Hit Rate70%
EV+31%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

55%

DK

Over 32.5

PtsReb-1080
Hit Rate70%
EV+21%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

60%

L20

60%

DK

Over 44.5

PtsRebAst+3430
Hit Rate40%
EV+35%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

30%

DK

Under 36.5

PtsRebAst-1070
Hit Rate30%
EV-2%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

25%

DK

Over 35.5

PtsRebAst-116MODEL

Jaylen Brown has gone over 35.5 PtsRebAst in 7 of the last 10 games. PHI is a weak #21 defense vs PtsRebAst. well-rested with 7 days off.

Hit Rate70%
EV+21%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

DK

Over 5.5

REB-185MODEL

Jaylen Brown has gone over 5.5 PTS in 7 of the last 10 games. PHI is a weak #22 defense vs PTS. well-rested with 7 days off.

Hit Rate70%
EV+10%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

75%

DK

Over 6.5

REB-1020
Hit Rate40%
EV+4%

L6

33%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

40%

L20

55%

DK

Under 6.5

REB-1300
Hit Rate60%
EV+10%

L6

67%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

60%

L20

45%

DK

Over 1.5

STL+2160
Hit Rate40%
EV+11%

L6

33%

L8

38%

L10

40%

L15

33%

L20

35%

2
DK

Over 0.5

STL-1530
Hit Rate70%
EV+25%

L6

83%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

73%

L20

65%

4
DK

Under 0.5

STL+1150
Hit Rate30%
EV-12%

L6

17%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

27%

L20

35%

4

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 10.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

O 25.5 Points

13/20 hit

60%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

O 10.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 6.5 Rebounds

11/20 hit

O 25.5 Points

13/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 34.5 Pts+Reb

11/20 hit

O 29.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

55%

both hit

O 34.5 Pts+Reb

11/20 hit

O 10.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 25.5 Points

13/20 hit

O 10.5 Ast+Reb

14/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 34.5 Pts+Reb

11/20 hit

O 1.5 FG3M

11/20 hit

50%

both hit

O 29.5 Pts+Ast

14/20 hit

O 1.5 FG3M

11/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 25.5 Points

13/20 hit

O 25.5 Points

13/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 0.5 Steals

13/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs PHI History

Avg PTS

27.0

Avg REB

8.0

Avg AST

8.0

DateW/LPTSREBASTMIN
Mar 1W278838

Recent Game Log

Apr 10BOS vs. NOPW

PTS

23

REB

3

AST

1

3PM

2

Apr 7BOS vs. CHAW

PTS

35

REB

9

AST

3

3PM

3

Apr 5BOS vs. TORW

PTS

26

REB

6

AST

3

3PM

1

Apr 3BOS @ MILW

PTS

26

REB

3

AST

4

3PM

2

Apr 1BOS @ MIAW

PTS

43

REB

3

AST

7

3PM

4

Mar 30BOS @ ATLL

PTS

29

REB

10

AST

9

3PM

3

Mar 25BOS vs. OKCW

PTS

31

REB

8

AST

8

3PM

1

Mar 22BOS vs. MINL

PTS

29

REB

7

AST

4

3PM

2

Mar 20BOS @ MEMW

PTS

30

REB

6

AST

6

3PM

2

Mar 18BOS vs. GSWW

PTS

32

REB

6

AST

5

3PM

1

Mar 16BOS vs. PHXW

PTS

41

REB

7

AST

6

3PM

2

Mar 14BOS vs. WASW

PTS

16

REB

4

AST

3

3PM

0

Mar 12BOS @ OKCL

PTS

34

REB

6

AST

7

3PM

1

Mar 10BOS @ SASL

PTS

8

REB

2

AST

7

3PM

0

Mar 8BOS @ CLEW

PTS

23

REB

9

AST

8

3PM

1

Mar 6BOS vs. DALW

PTS

24

REB

7

AST

7

3PM

2

Mar 4BOS vs. CHAL

PTS

20

REB

11

AST

7

3PM

1

Mar 1BOS vs. PHIW

PTS

27

REB

8

AST

8

3PM

2

Feb 27BOS vs. BKNW

PTS

28

REB

7

AST

9

3PM

4

Feb 25BOS @ DENL

PTS

23

REB

11

AST

3

3PM

1