Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNBA Analytics
Franz Wagner

Franz Wagner

ORLMagic·Forward·#22
Player Intel

Franz Wagner is in peak form, averaging 18.4 points over his last 5 games — a sharp uptick from his 15.2 L10 average. Ast+Reb is his strongest prop category tonight (90.0% L10 on Under 7.5). Assists presents more risk (0.0% L10). His shooting has been hot — 50% FG over the last 5 games, up from 47% L10.

Today's Props

DK

Over 2.5

AST-177MODEL

ML model confidence: 62%.

Hit Rate50%
EV-9%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

50%

L15

53%

L20

55%

2
DK

Under 2.5

AST+1340
Hit Rate50%
EV+20%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

47%

L20

45%

2
DK

Over 6.5

AST+13400
Hit Rate0%
EV-2%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

0%

L20

5%

19
DK

Under 7.5

AstReb-128MODEL

Franz Wagner has gone over 7.5 AstReb in 9 of the last 10 games. +35% expected value.

Hit Rate90%
EV+35%

L6

83%

L8

88%

L10

90%

L15

73%

L20

55%

DK

Over 7.5

AstReb-103MODEL

ML model confidence: 56%.

Hit Rate10%
EV-6%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

27%

L20

45%

DK

Under 1.5

FG3M-170MODEL

Franz Wagner has gone over 1.5 FG3M in 7 of the last 10 games. +14% EV edge.

Hit Rate70%
EV+14%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

70%

2
DK

Over 1.5

FG3M+1340
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

2
DK

Over 1.5

FG3M+1320
Hit Rate30%
EV-7%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

30%

2
DK

Over 17.5

PTS-1140
Hit Rate40%
EV+4%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

55%

DK

Under 17.5

PTS-1110
Hit Rate60%
EV+11%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

45%

DK

Over 24.5

PTS+4110
Hit Rate10%
EV+5%

L6

17%

L8

13%

L10

10%

L15

20%

L20

25%

3
DK

Under 20.5

PtsAst-109MODEL

Franz Wagner has gone over 20.5 PtsAst in 7 of the last 10 games. +25% expected value.

Hit Rate70%
EV+25%

L6

50%

L8

63%

L10

70%

L15

67%

L20

55%

DK

Over 20.5

PtsAst-121MODEL

ML model confidence: 57%.

Hit Rate30%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

45%

DK

Over 20.5

PtsAst-120MODEL

ML model confidence: 57%.

Hit Rate30%
EV-5%

L6

50%

L8

38%

L10

30%

L15

33%

L20

45%

DK

Over 21.5

PtsReb-127MODEL

trending up with strong recent form.

Hit Rate40%
EV+4%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

40%

L15

47%

L20

60%

DK

Under 21.5

PtsReb-1040
Hit Rate60%
EV+13%

L6

50%

L8

50%

L10

60%

L15

53%

L20

40%

DK

Over 24.5

PtsReb+1500
Hit Rate20%
EV+5%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

45%

DK

Over 34.5

PtsRebAst+5430
Hit Rate0%
EV-1%

L6

0%

L8

0%

L10

0%

L15

13%

L20

15%

13
DK

Over 25.5

PtsRebAst-1060
Hit Rate20%
EV-2%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

33%

L20

50%

DK

Under 25.5

PtsRebAst-124MODEL

Franz Wagner has gone over 25.5 PtsRebAst in 8 of the last 10 games. +26% expected value.

Hit Rate80%
EV+26%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

67%

L20

50%

DK

Over 3.5

REB-184MODEL

trending up with strong recent form.

Hit Rate50%
EV+6%

L6

67%

L8

63%

L10

50%

L15

60%

L20

70%

3
DK

Over 4.5

REB+113MODEL

ML model confidence: 57%.

Hit Rate20%
EV-2%

L6

33%

L8

25%

L10

20%

L15

27%

L20

45%

DK

Under 4.5

REB-149MODEL

Franz Wagner has gone over 4.5 REB in 8 of the last 10 games. +22% expected value.

Hit Rate80%
EV+22%

L6

67%

L8

75%

L10

80%

L15

73%

L20

55%

Prop Correlations

How often props hit together in the last 20 games — useful for parlays

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

9/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

10/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

9/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

9/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

10/20 hit

O 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

10/20 hit

45%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

O 2.5 Assists

11/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

O 7.5 Ast+Reb

9/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

9/20 hit

O 20.5 Pts+Ast

9/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

9/20 hit

O 20.5 Pts+Ast

9/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 25.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

10/20 hit

O 20.5 Pts+Ast

9/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

O 24.5 Pts+Reb

9/20 hit

40%

both hit

O 3.5 Rebounds

14/20 hit

Props that co-hit frequently may be correlated through playing time or game script — consider pairing them in parlays.

vs DET History

Avg PTS

21.0

Avg REB

7.0

Avg AST

1.0

DateW/LPTSREBASTMIN
Nov 28W217135.96666666666667

Recent Game Log

Apr 17ORL vs. CHAW

PTS

18

REB

7

AST

6

3PM

0

Apr 15ORL @ PHIL

PTS

12

REB

4

AST

3

3PM

0

Apr 12ORL @ BOSL

PTS

20

REB

4

AST

1

3PM

2

Apr 10ORL @ CHIW

PTS

25

REB

2

AST

4

3PM

3

Apr 8ORL vs. MINW

PTS

17

REB

0

AST

2

3PM

1

Apr 5ORL @ NOPW

PTS

11

REB

5

AST

2

3PM

0

Apr 3ORL @ DALW

PTS

18

REB

4

AST

1

3PM

0

Apr 1ORL vs. ATLL

PTS

12

REB

1

AST

2

3PM

0

Feb 11ORL vs. MILL

PTS

5

REB

0

AST

3

3PM

1

Feb 9ORL vs. MILW

PTS

14

REB

2

AST

5

3PM

2

Jan 18ORL @ MEML

PTS

14

REB

4

AST

3

3PM

0

Jan 15ORL @ MEMW

PTS

18

REB

9

AST

2

3PM

3

Dec 7ORL @ NYKL

PTS

7

REB

3

AST

1

3PM

1

Dec 5ORL vs. MIAW

PTS

32

REB

5

AST

3

3PM

4

Dec 3ORL vs. SASL

PTS

25

REB

4

AST

6

3PM

1

Dec 1ORL vs. CHIW

PTS

25

REB

6

AST

2

3PM

0

Nov 28ORL @ DETW

PTS

21

REB

7

AST

1

3PM

0

Nov 25ORL @ PHIW

PTS

21

REB

5

AST

3

3PM

1

Nov 23ORL @ BOSL

PTS

15

REB

8

AST

5

3PM

0

Nov 22ORL vs. NYKW

PTS

37

REB

6

AST

7

3PM

4