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ATL
ATL
Dream
Away
vs
Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM EDT
GSV
Valkyries
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GSV

Game Day Briefing

Matchup Overview

Today's ATL vs GSV matchup features 142 player props. The model flags 54 high-conviction picks. 26 props carry 70%+ L10 hit rates — a strong slate for confident plays.

ATL Prop Angles

Angel Reese leads the way with a 90% L10 hit rate on Over 1.5 assists. Angel Reese's Under 10.5 rebounds shows +62% expected value — the top edge for ATL.

GSV Prop Angles

Kiah Stokes leads the way with a 80% L10 hit rate on Under 0.5 3-pointers made. Kayla Thornton's Over 8.5 points + assists shows +37% expected value — the top edge for GSV. The opponent is soft against rebounds, creating opportunities.

Bobby's Take

The standout play today is Angel Reese Under 10.5 rebounds (+62% EV, 80% L10).

Game lines

Moneyline
ATL
+120DK
GSV
-142DK
Spread
ATL +2.5
-112DK
GSV -2.5
-108DK
Total
Over 153.5
-115DK
Under 153.5
-105DK

Same-game parlay angles

Top EV SGP
+714

Highest expected-value legs with unique players.

  • 1Angel ReeseUnder 10.5 REB80%
  • 2Rhyne HowardUnder 2.5 FG3M80%
  • 3Jordin CanadaOver 7.5 AST70%
$10 → $81.353-leg
Bet Parlay on DK
Hot Streak SGP
+447

Players hitting 60%+ over their last 10 games.

  • 1Angel ReeseOver 1.5 AST90%
  • 2Rhyne HowardUnder 2.5 FG3M80%
  • 3Jordin CanadaOver 18.5 PA80%
$10 → $54.743-leg
Bet Parlay on DK
Category Mix SGP
+532

One stat from each category — diversified across players.

  • 1Angel ReeseOver 13.5 PTS80%
  • 2Kiah StokesOver 7.5 REB70%
  • 3Jordin CanadaOver 7.5 AST70%
$10 → $63.163-leg
Bet Parlay on DK
ATL

Dream

72 props
Angel Reese
ATL
Angel Reese
DreamvsGSV
B+
Under 10.5
Rebounds
+103🔥 4 straight
80% L10+62.4% EVavg 8.9
Angel Reese
ATL
Angel Reese
DreamvsGSV
A-
Over 16.5
Points + Assists
-105🔥 4 straight
80% L10+56.2% EVavg 20.6
Rhyne Howard
ATL
Rhyne Howard
DreamvsGSV
B
Under 2.5
3-Pointers Made
-109
80% L10+53.4% EVavg 1.9
Jordin Canada
ATL
Jordin Canada
DreamvsGSV
B+
Over 7.5
Assists
+109
70% L10+46.3% EVavg 7.9
Jordin Canada
ATL
Jordin Canada
DreamvsGSV
A-
Over 18.5
Points + Assists
-123🔥 5 straight
80% L10+45.0% EVavg 23.8
Angel Reese
ATL
Angel Reese
DreamvsGSV
A-
Over 13.5
Points
-126🔥 4 straight
80% L10+43.5% EVavg 18.2
Angel Reese
ATL
Angel Reese
DreamvsGSV
A-
Over 1.5
Assists
-174🔥 4 straight
90% L10+41.8% EVavg 2.4
Jordin Canada
ATL
Jordin Canada
DreamvsGSV
B+
Over 11.5
Points
-107🔥 4 straight
70% L10+35.5% EVavg 15.9
Jordin Canada
ATL
Jordin Canada
DreamvsGSV
B-
Over 1.5
3-Pointers Made
+169
50% L10+34.5% EVavg 1.8
Jordin Canada
ATL
Jordin Canada
DreamvsGSV
B+
Over 22.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-109🔥 5 straight
70% L10+34.2% EVavg 26.8
Angel Reese
ATL
Angel Reese
DreamvsGSV
B-
Over 0.5
3-Pointers Made
+121
60% L10+32.6% EVavg 0.7
Rhyne Howard
ATL
Rhyne Howard
DreamvsGSV
B+
Under 23.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-119
70% L10+28.8% EVavg 23.7
Allisha Gray
ATL
Allisha Gray
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 1.5
3-Pointers Made
+107
60% L10+24.2% EVavg 2.1
Rhyne Howard
ATL
Rhyne Howard
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 3.5
Assists
+100
60% L10+20.0% EVavg 3.8
Allisha Gray
ATL
Allisha Gray
DreamvsGSV
B-
Over 15.5
Points
-103
60% L10+18.3% EVavg 17.0
DeWanna Bonner
ATL
DeWanna Bonner
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 8.5
Points
-108
60% L10+15.6% EVavg 10.9
Jordin Canada
ATL
Jordin Canada
DreamvsGSV
C+
Under 3.5
Rebounds
-154
70% L10+15.4% EVavg 3.0
Naz Hillmon
ATL
Naz Hillmon
DreamvsGSV
C+
Under 12.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-109
60% L10+15.0% EVavg 13.4
Allisha Gray
ATL
Allisha Gray
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 17.5
Points + Assists
-111
60% L10+14.1% EVavg 19.7
Allisha Gray
ATL
Allisha Gray
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 18.5
Points + Rebounds
-111
60% L10+14.1% EVavg 20.5
Angel Reese
ATL
Angel Reese
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 25.5
Points + Rebounds
-111
60% L10+14.1% EVavg 27.1
Angel Reese
ATL
Angel Reese
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 27.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-115
60% L10+12.2% EVavg 29.5
Rhyne Howard
ATL
Rhyne Howard
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 15.5
Points
-117
60% L10+11.3% EVavg 16.0
Allisha Gray
ATL
Allisha Gray
DreamvsGSV
C+
Over 20.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-117
60% L10+11.3% EVavg 23.2
GSV

Valkyries

70 props
Kayla Thornton
GSV
Kayla Thornton
Valkyries@ATL
B
Over 8.5
Points + Assists
-105
70% L10+36.6% EVavg 9.7
Kayla Thornton
GSV
Kayla Thornton
Valkyries@ATL
B
Over 7.5
Points
-110
70% L10+33.6% EVavg 9.2
Kayla Thornton
GSV
Kayla Thornton
Valkyries@ATL
B
Over 13.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-111
70% L10+33.1% EVavg 15.0
Veronica Burton
GSV
Veronica Burton
Valkyries@ATL
B
Under 18.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-111
70% L10+33.1% EVavg 18.6
Kayla Thornton
GSV
Kayla Thornton
Valkyries@ATL
B
Over 12.5
Points + Rebounds
-113
70% L10+31.9% EVavg 14.5
Kayla Thornton
GSV
Kayla Thornton
Valkyries@ATL
B-
Over 1.5
3-Pointers Made
+118
60% L10+30.8% EVavg 1.6
Tiffany Hayes
GSV
Tiffany Hayes
Valkyries@ATL
B
Over 8.5
Points
-123
70% L10+26.9% EVavg 11.9
Cecilia Zandalasini
GSV
Cecilia Zandalasini
Valkyries@ATL
B-
Under 1.5
Assists
-123
70% L10+26.9% EVavg 1.1
Cecilia Zandalasini
GSV
Cecilia Zandalasini
Valkyries@ATL
B-
Over 8.5
Points + Rebounds
-125
70% L10+26.0% EVavg 11.0
Gabby Williams
GSV
Gabby Williams
Valkyries@ATL
C+
Over 2.5
3-Pointers Made
+143
50% L10+21.5% EVavg 2.6
Kiah Stokes
GSV
Kiah Stokes
Valkyries@ATL
C
Under 2.5
Points
-103
60% L10+18.3% EVavg 3.3
Kiah Stokes
GSV
Kiah Stokes
Valkyries@ATL
B-
Over 7.5
Rebounds
-146
70% L10+17.9% EVavg 9.4
Gabby Williams
GSV
Gabby Williams
Valkyries@ATL
B-
Under 25.5
Points + Rebounds + Assists
-109
60% L10+15.0% EVavg 26.9
Kiah Stokes
GSV
Kiah Stokes
Valkyries@ATL
C+
Over 1.5
Assists
-111
60% L10+14.1% EVavg 1.9
Gabby Williams
GSV
Gabby Williams
Valkyries@ATL
B-
Under 21.5
Points + Assists
-111
60% L10+14.1% EVavg 22.8
Gabby Williams
GSV
Gabby Williams
Valkyries@ATL
B-
Under 4.5
Rebounds
-160
70% L10+13.8% EVavg 4.1
Kiah Stokes
GSV
Kiah Stokes
Valkyries@ATL
C
Under 4.5
Points + Assists
-113
60% L10+13.1% EVavg 5.2
Veronica Burton
GSV
Veronica Burton
Valkyries@ATL
C+
Under 13.5
Points + Rebounds
-113
60% L10+13.1% EVavg 14.2
Kiah Stokes
GSV
Kiah Stokes
Valkyries@ATL
C
Under 0.5
3-Pointers Made
-256
80% L10+11.3% EVavg 0.2
Cecilia Zandalasini
GSV
Cecilia Zandalasini
Valkyries@ATL
C
Under 8.5
Points + Assists
-121🔥 5 straight
60% L10+9.6% EVavg 9.8
Veronica Burton
GSV
Veronica Burton
Valkyries@ATL
C
Under 15.5
Points + Assists
-122
60% L10+9.2% EVavg 14.4
Cecilia Zandalasini
GSV
Cecilia Zandalasini
Valkyries@ATL
C
Over 6.5
Points
-126
60% L10+7.6% EVavg 8.7
Veronica Burton
GSV
Veronica Burton
Valkyries@ATL
C
Under 10.5
Points
-128
60% L10+6.9% EVavg 10.0
Veronica Burton
GSV
Veronica Burton
Valkyries@ATL
C
Under 4.5
Assists
+109
50% L10+4.5% EVavg 4.4