Favourite Unders
When a book prices a player's Under between โ160 and โ200, it tends to land more often than that short price implies โ the public leans Over on stars, and favourites are underpriced generally. Assists and rebounds are the strongest versions: a star gets game-planned into a quiet night on a countable stat. The price band matters as much as the direction โ go deeper than โ200 and the edge reverses, so this board stops there rather than chasing shorter prices.
Live check: over the trailing 45 days these Unders hit 0.5 points more often than their prices implied, on 450 settled props. The board below only appears while that number is positive โ if the edge closes, this page goes quiet on its own rather than carrying on regardless.
Jackie YoungstrongestUnder 4.5 Rebounds-1604% edge
Kayla McBridestrongestUnder 4.5 Assists-1604% edge
Olivia MilesstrongestUnder 4.5 Rebounds-1604% edge
Pauline AstierstrongestUnder 3.5 Assists-1604% edge
Chelsea GraystrongestUnder 6.5 Assists-1604% edge
Nia BrodiestrongestUnder 1.5 Assists-1614% edge
Arike OgunbowalestrongestUnder 3.5 Assists-1614% edge
Paige BueckersstrongestUnder 4.5 Rebounds-1614% edge
Georgia AmoorestrongestUnder 3.5 Assists-1624% edge
Veronica BurtonstrongestUnder 4.5 Rebounds-1624% edge
Allisha GraystrongestUnder 3.5 Rebounds-1624% edge
Naz HillmonstrongestUnder 3.5 Rebounds-1634% edge
Kiki IriafenstrongestUnder 1.5 Assists-1653% edge
Courtney WilliamsstrongestUnder 5.5 Rebounds-1653% edge
Aliyah BostonstrongestUnder 5.5 Rebounds-1653% edge
A'ja WilsonstrongestUnder 3.5 Assists-1682% edge
Aliyah BostonstrongestUnder 3.5 Assists-1692% edge
Courtney WilliamsstrongestUnder 4.5 Assists-1702% edge
Breanna StewartstrongestUnder 7.5 Rebounds-1702% edge
Pauline AstierstrongestUnder 4.5 Assists-1702% edge
Courtney WilliamsstrongestUnder 4.5 Rebounds-1702% edge
Gabby WilliamsstrongestUnder 3.5 Assists-1722% edge
Sabrina IonescustrongestUnder 5.5 Rebounds-1751% edge
Kiah StokesstrongestUnder 1.5 Assists-1771% edge
Natasha HowardstrongestUnder 3.5 Assists-1780% edge
Courtney WilliamsUnder 1.5 3-Pointers Made-1604% edge
Leonie FiebichUnder 7.5 Points-1653% edge
Olivia MilesUnder 1.5 3-Pointers Made-1653% edge
Chelsea GrayUnder 2.5 3-Pointers Made-1653% edge
Pauline AstierUnder 0.5 3-Pointers Made-1653% edge
Caitlin ClarkUnder 3.5 3-Pointers Made-1673% edge
DeWanna BonnerUnder 1.5 3-Pointers Made-1673% edge
Rhyne HowardUnder 3.5 3-Pointers Made-1673% edge
Veronica BurtonUnder 1.5 3-Pointers Made-1682% edge
Jackie YoungUnder 4.5 3-Pointers Made-1702% edge
Kayla McBrideUnder 3.5 3-Pointers Made-1722% edge
Kelsey MitchellUnder 3.5 3-Pointers Made-1722% edge
Cecilia ZandalasiniUnder 1.5 3-Pointers Made-1731% edge
Napheesa CollierUnder 0.5 3-Pointers Made-1751% edge
Sabrina IonescuUnder 2.5 3-Pointers Made-1790% edge
Edge is measured against the book's own implied probability, using a deliberately conservative estimate of how often these actually land. It is an edge, not a guarantee โ these are still short prices, and a losing week is entirely normal.
