Favourite Unders

When a book prices a player's Under between โˆ’160 and โˆ’200, it tends to land more often than that short price implies โ€” the public leans Over on stars, and favourites are underpriced generally. Assists and rebounds are the strongest versions: a star gets game-planned into a quiet night on a countable stat. The price band matters as much as the direction โ€” go deeper than โˆ’200 and the edge reverses, so this board stops there rather than chasing shorter prices.

Live check: over the trailing 45 days these Unders hit 0.5 points more often than their prices implied, on 450 settled props. The board below only appears while that number is positive โ€” if the edge closes, this page goes quiet on its own rather than carrying on regardless.
  • Jackie Youngstrongest
    Under 4.5 Rebounds
    -160
    4% edge
  • Kayla McBridestrongest
    Under 4.5 Assists
    -160
    4% edge
  • Olivia Milesstrongest
    Under 4.5 Rebounds
    -160
    4% edge
  • Pauline Astierstrongest
    Under 3.5 Assists
    -160
    4% edge
  • Chelsea Graystrongest
    Under 6.5 Assists
    -160
    4% edge
  • Nia Brodiestrongest
    Under 1.5 Assists
    -161
    4% edge
  • Arike Ogunbowalestrongest
    Under 3.5 Assists
    -161
    4% edge
  • Paige Bueckersstrongest
    Under 4.5 Rebounds
    -161
    4% edge
  • Georgia Amoorestrongest
    Under 3.5 Assists
    -162
    4% edge
  • Veronica Burtonstrongest
    Under 4.5 Rebounds
    -162
    4% edge
  • Allisha Graystrongest
    Under 3.5 Rebounds
    -162
    4% edge
  • Naz Hillmonstrongest
    Under 3.5 Rebounds
    -163
    4% edge
  • Kiki Iriafenstrongest
    Under 1.5 Assists
    -165
    3% edge
  • Courtney Williamsstrongest
    Under 5.5 Rebounds
    -165
    3% edge
  • Aliyah Bostonstrongest
    Under 5.5 Rebounds
    -165
    3% edge
  • A'ja Wilsonstrongest
    Under 3.5 Assists
    -168
    2% edge
  • Aliyah Bostonstrongest
    Under 3.5 Assists
    -169
    2% edge
  • Courtney Williamsstrongest
    Under 4.5 Assists
    -170
    2% edge
  • Breanna Stewartstrongest
    Under 7.5 Rebounds
    -170
    2% edge
  • Pauline Astierstrongest
    Under 4.5 Assists
    -170
    2% edge
  • Courtney Williamsstrongest
    Under 4.5 Rebounds
    -170
    2% edge
  • Gabby Williamsstrongest
    Under 3.5 Assists
    -172
    2% edge
  • Sabrina Ionescustrongest
    Under 5.5 Rebounds
    -175
    1% edge
  • Kiah Stokesstrongest
    Under 1.5 Assists
    -177
    1% edge
  • Natasha Howardstrongest
    Under 3.5 Assists
    -178
    0% edge
  • Courtney Williams
    Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
    -160
    4% edge
  • Leonie Fiebich
    Under 7.5 Points
    -165
    3% edge
  • Olivia Miles
    Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
    -165
    3% edge
  • Chelsea Gray
    Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made
    -165
    3% edge
  • Pauline Astier
    Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made
    -165
    3% edge
  • Caitlin Clark
    Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made
    -167
    3% edge
  • DeWanna Bonner
    Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
    -167
    3% edge
  • Rhyne Howard
    Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made
    -167
    3% edge
  • Veronica Burton
    Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
    -168
    2% edge
  • Jackie Young
    Under 4.5 3-Pointers Made
    -170
    2% edge
  • Kayla McBride
    Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made
    -172
    2% edge
  • Kelsey Mitchell
    Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made
    -172
    2% edge
  • Cecilia Zandalasini
    Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made
    -173
    1% edge
  • Napheesa Collier
    Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made
    -175
    1% edge
  • Sabrina Ionescu
    Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made
    -179
    0% edge

Edge is measured against the book's own implied probability, using a deliberately conservative estimate of how often these actually land. It is an edge, not a guarantee โ€” these are still short prices, and a losing week is entirely normal.