All games

Sat, Oct 17 Β· 12:00 PM ET

Kansas at Kansas State

Kansas State favored by 3.5 Β· total 55.5

KansasJayhawks

Away Β· Big 12

+3.5

-112

+145

ML

Kansas StateWildcats

Home Β· Big 12

-3.5

-108

-175

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead β€” or as well β€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadKansas +3.5-112
SpreadKansas State -3.5-108
TotalOver 55.5-105
TotalUnder 55.5-115
MoneylineKansas to win+145
MoneylineKansas State to win-175

Returning production

KansasKansas State
Overall18%71%
Passing-2%*100%
Rushing15%61%
Receiving33%57%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose β€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

Player props Β· 23 players

Passing yards

Avery JohnsonKSUcoin flip at 240+ (-105)ladder to 350+
Isaiah MarshallKUcoin flip at 240+ (+104)ladder to 350+

Receiving yards

Nik McMillanKUcoin flip at 70+ (+105)ladder to 140+
Jaron TibbsKSUcoin flip at 49+ (-117)ladder to 120+
Nahzae CoxKUcoin flip at 40+ (+102)ladder to 100+
Cam PickettKUcoin flip at 42+ (-111)ladder to 110+
Josh ManningKSUcoin flip at 41+ (-111)ladder to 100+
Carson BruhnKUcoin flip at 21+ (-116)ladder to 70+

+1 more receiving yards ladders

Rushing yards

Rodney FieldsKSUcoin flip at 70+ (-103)ladder to 140+
Dylan EdwardsKUcoin flip at 60+ (-117)ladder to 130+
Joe JacksonKSUcoin flip at 51+ (-113)ladder to 120+
Avery JohnsonKSUcoin flip at 43+ (-117)ladder to 100+
Isaiah MarshallKUcoin flip at 40+ (+107)ladder to 90+
Jalen DupreeKUcoin flip at 25+ (-112)ladder to 70+

Anytime TD

Avery JohnsonKSUcoin flip at Over (-130)ladder to Over
Brandon WhiteKSUcoin flip at Over (+185)ladder to Over
Bryson HayesKUcoin flip at Over (+500)ladder to Over
Cam PickettKUcoin flip at Over (+250)ladder to Over
Carson BruhnKUcoin flip at Over (+750)ladder to Over
Derrick SalleyKSUcoin flip at Over (+295)ladder to Over

+16 more anytime td ladders

fgm

Luis Rodriguezcoin flip at 2+ (+155)ladder to 2+

Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props β€” these are the market's numbers.

The read

  • At 3.5 the line sits just past 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from -6.5 to -3.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result β€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 3.1 points β€” SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

KansaspercentileKansas State

With the ball

57Efficiency (PPA)77
58Success rate78
86Explosiveness34
45Points per trip92

Without it

76Efficiency allowed28
84Success rate allowed70
86Havoc85
96Stuff rate35

Last three seasons

Kansas

9-12-1 ATS Β· 8-14 SU

9-11-1 O/U Β· 4-7 away

Kansas State

9-12 ATS Β· 12-9 SU

11-10 O/U Β· 5-4 home

A record, not a signal β€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 3.5 β€” the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
  • Total 55.5 β€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick β€” see every band.

SP+ team strength Β· 2026

AwayKansas#58 (+3.3)scores 28.8 Β· allows 26.1
HomeKansas State#34 (+9.2)scores 32.5 Β· allows 23.6

SP+ implies Kansas State -6.6 versus the market's -3.5 β€” a 3.1-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick β€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total55.5O -105 Β· U -115

Line movement

Spread (home)

-6.5 β†’ -3.5+3.0

Total

55.5 β†’ 55.5unmoved

flips 5.2%200 checks Β· Oct 11 – Oct 16

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open β€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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