Sat, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Kent State at South Florida
South Florida favored by 20.5 · total 45.5
Kent StateGolden Flashes
Away · Mid-American
+20.5
-108
+850
ML
South FloridaBulls
Home · American Athletic
-20.5
-112
-1450
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Kent State | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 64% | 13% |
| Passing | 103%* | 6% |
| Rushing | 76% | -1%* |
| Receiving | 45% | 24% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
Player props · 22 players
Anytime TD
+16 more anytime td ladders
Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props — these are the market's numbers.
The read
- At 20.5 the line sits just short of 21, so the games decided by exactly 21 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -19.5 to -20.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 45.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.8 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Kent State
9-12 ATS · 4-17 SU
11-10 O/U · 5-8 away
South Florida
14-10 ATS · 14-10 SU
15-9 O/U · 7-3 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 20.5 — the 17-21 point band. In 639 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.1–54.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 45.5 — this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two — though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies South Florida -16.7 versus the market's -20.5 — a 3.8-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-19.5 → -20.5-1.0
Total
46.5 → 45.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.