All games

Sat, Oct 17 Β· 7:30 PM ET

Kentucky at Oklahoma

Oklahoma favored by 6.5 Β· total 43.5

KentuckyWildcats

Away Β· SEC

+6.5

-108

+205

ML

OklahomaSooners

Home Β· SEC

-6.5

-112

-250

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead β€” or as well β€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadKentucky +6.5-108
SpreadOklahoma -6.5-112
TotalOver 43.5-108
TotalUnder 43.5-112
MoneylineKentucky to win+205
MoneylineOklahoma to win-250

Returning production

KentuckyOklahoma
Overall19%63%
Passing-3%*92%
Rushing-9%*122%*
Receiving35%42%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose β€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

Player props Β· 25 players

Passing yards

John MateerOKLAcoin flip at 230+ (+106)ladder to 340+
Kenny MincheyUKcoin flip at 200+ (+111)ladder to 310+

Receiving yards

Isaiah SategnaOKLAcoin flip at 70+ (-105)ladder to 150+
Kenny DarbyUKcoin flip at 46+ (-110)ladder to 120+
DJ MillerUKcoin flip at 33+ (-115)ladder to 90+
Rocky BeersOKLAcoin flip at 34+ (-112)ladder to 90+
Willie RodriguezUKcoin flip at 26+ (-117)ladder to 80+

Rushing yards

John MateerOKLAcoin flip at 40+ (+106)ladder to 90+
CJ BaxterUKcoin flip at 60+ (+105)ladder to 130+
Lloyd AvantOKLAcoin flip at 50+ (-103)ladder to 110+

Anytime TD

CJ BaxterUKcoin flip at Over (+100)ladder to Over
DJ MillerUKcoin flip at Over (+750)ladder to Over
Elijah ThomasOKLAcoin flip at Over (+500)ladder to Over
Hayden HansenOKLAcoin flip at Over (+550)ladder to Over
Henry BoyerUKcoin flip at Over (+650)ladder to Over
Isaiah SategnaOKLAcoin flip at Over (-105)ladder to Over

+18 more anytime td ladders

fgm

Tate Sandellcoin flip at 2+ (+125)ladder to 2+

Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props β€” these are the market's numbers.

The read

  • At 6.5 the line sits just short of 7, so the games decided by exactly 7 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • A total of 43.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result β€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 5.3 points β€” SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

KentuckypercentileOklahoma

With the ball

67Efficiency (PPA)5
85Success rate8
27Explosiveness5
60Points per trip22

Without it

56Efficiency allowed96
16Success rate allowed97
73Havoc90
61Stuff rate43

Last three seasons

Kentucky

11-12 ATS Β· 9-14 SU

10-13 O/U Β· 4-5 away

Oklahoma

13-11-1 ATS Β· 15-10 SU

9-16 O/U Β· 7-7 home

A record, not a signal β€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 6.5 β€” the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
  • Total 43.5 β€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick β€” see every band.

SP+ team strength Β· 2026

AwayKentucky#47 (+5.2)scores 26.3 Β· allows 21.1
HomeOklahoma#11 (+18.8)scores 32.1 Β· allows 13.7

SP+ implies Oklahoma -11.8 versus the market's -6.5 β€” a 5.3-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick β€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total43.5O -108 Β· U -112

Line movement

Spread (home)

-6.5 β†’ -6.5unmoved

Total

43.5 β†’ 43.5unmoved

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open β€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.