All games

Sat, Oct 17 Β· 10:00 PM ET

Ohio at Sacramento State

Ohio favored by 15.5 Β· total 47.5

OhioBobcats

Away Β· Mid-American

-15.5

-108

-675

ML

Sacramento StateHornets

Home Β· Mid-American

+15.5

-112

+490

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead β€” or as well β€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadOhio -15.5-108
SpreadSacramento State +15.5-112
TotalOver 47.5-108
TotalUnder 47.5-112
MoneylineOhio to win-675
MoneylineSacramento State to win+490

Returning production

OhioSacramento State
Overall63%β€”
Passing94%β€”
Rushing100%*β€”
Receiving17%β€”

* Outside 0–100% on purpose β€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

Player props Β· 26 players

Anytime TD

AJ MillerOHIOcoin flip at Over (+1000)ladder to Over
Andrew MetzgerOHIOcoin flip at Over (+1300)ladder to Over
Cincere RhaneySACcoin flip at Over (+360)ladder to Over
Daniel SwinneySACcoin flip at Over (+225)ladder to Over
Dom DorwartOHIOcoin flip at Over (+225)ladder to Over
Duncan BruneOHIOcoin flip at Over (-135)ladder to Over

+20 more anytime td ladders

Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props β€” these are the market's numbers.

The read

  • The spread has moved from 14.5 to 15.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 47.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result β€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 10.2 points β€” SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

OhiopercentileSacramento State

With the ball

61Efficiency (PPA)3
75Success rate25
10Explosiveness0
57Points per trip6

Without it

22Efficiency allowed29
39Success rate allowed69
49Havoc6
57Stuff rate21

Last three seasons

Ohio

15-10 ATS Β· 18-7 SU

12-13 O/U Β· 5-7 away

A record, not a signal β€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 15.5 β€” the 14-17 point band. In 708 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 52.8% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (49.1–56.5%) is taken into account.
  • Total 47.5 β€” this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two β€” though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at βˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick β€” see every band.

SP+ team strength Β· 2026

AwayOhio#109 (-11.8)scores 14.1 Β· allows 25.3
HomeSacramento State#131 (-23.4)scores 14.7 Β· allows 38.2

SP+ implies Sacramento State +5.3 versus the market's +15.5 β€” a 10.2-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick β€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total47.5O -108 Β· U -112

Line movement

Spread (home)

14.5 β†’ 15.5+1.0

Total

49.5 β†’ 47.5-2.0

flips 0.7%200 checks Β· Oct 11 – Oct 16

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open β€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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