Sat, Oct 17 · 9:00 PM ET
San Jose State at UTEP
San Jose State favored by 7 · total 45.5
San Jose StateSpartans
Away · Mountain West
-7
-105
-270
ML
UTEPMiners
Home · Mountain West
+7
-115
+220
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| San José State | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4% | -1%* |
| Passing | -8%* | 18% |
| Rushing | 36% | -31%* |
| Receiving | 3% | 15% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
Player props · 23 players
Anytime TD
+17 more anytime td ladders
Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props — these are the market's numbers.
The read
- The number sits exactly on 7, one of the margins college games land on most often — so a half-point move either way changes more results here than the same move anywhere else on the board.
- The spread has moved from 8.5 to 7 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 45.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 7.1 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
San José State
8-15 ATS · 9-14 SU
12-11 O/U · 4-6 away
UTEP
7-15 ATS · 4-18 SU
13-9 O/U · 2-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 7 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2–54.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 45.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies UTEP -0.1 versus the market's +7 — a 7.1-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
8.5 → 7-1.5
Total
49.5 → 45.5-4.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.