All games

Sat, Oct 17 Β· 7:30 PM ET

Wisconsin at UCLA

UCLA favored by 2.5 Β· total 42.5

WisconsinBadgers

Away Β· Big Ten

+2.5

-105

+120

ML

UCLABruins

Home Β· Big Ten

-2.5

-115

-142

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead β€” or as well β€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadWisconsin +2.5-105
SpreadUCLA -2.5-115
TotalOver 42.5-115
TotalUnder 42.5-105
MoneylineWisconsin to win+120
MoneylineUCLA to win-142

Returning production

WisconsinUCLA
Overall31%57%
Passing-500%*55%
Rushing32%86%
Receiving34%34%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose β€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

Player props Β· 26 players

Passing yards

Colton JosephWIScoin flip at 190+ (-107)ladder to 310+
Ty DieffenbachUCLAcoin flip at 160+ (+109)ladder to 270+

Rushing yards

Wayne KnightUCLAcoin flip at 90+ (+101)ladder to 180+
Abu SamaWIScoin flip at 50+ (-109)ladder to 120+
Colton JosephWIScoin flip at 42+ (-116)ladder to 100+

Receiving yards

Semaj MorganUCLAcoin flip at 40+ (-104)ladder to 100+
Tyrell HenryWIScoin flip at 40+ (+107)ladder to 100+
Chris BrooksWIScoin flip at 29+ (-116)ladder to 80+
Brian RoweUCLAcoin flip at 25+ (-101)ladder to 70+
Eugene HiltonWIScoin flip at 27+ (-115)ladder to 80+
Jacob HarrisWIScoin flip at 25+ (-118)ladder to 80+

+1 more receiving yards ladders

Anytime TD

Abu SamaWIScoin flip at Over (+130)ladder to Over
Aidan MizellUCLAcoin flip at Over (+1000)ladder to Over
Anthony WoodsUCLAcoin flip at Over (+125)ladder to Over
Brayden LoftinUCLAcoin flip at Over (+600)ladder to Over
Brian RoweUCLAcoin flip at Over (+450)ladder to Over
Bryan JacksonWIScoin flip at Over (+600)ladder to Over

+18 more anytime td ladders

fgm

Gavin Lahmcoin flip at 1+ (-280)ladder to 1+
Mateen Bhaghanicoin flip at 2+ (+140)ladder to 2+

Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props β€” these are the market's numbers.

The read

  • At 2.5 the line sits just short of 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from -3.5 to -2.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 3, changing the result in 5.4% of historical games.
  • A total of 42.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result β€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

WisconsinpercentileUCLA

With the ball

54Efficiency (PPA)63
11Success rate70
99Explosiveness43
30Points per trip53

Without it

93Efficiency allowed99
85Success rate allowed93
47Havoc92
2Stuff rate90

Last three seasons

Wisconsin

8-13 ATS Β· 6-15 SU

6-15 O/U Β· 3-5 away

UCLA

9-13 ATS Β· 7-15 SU

9-13 O/U Β· 3-9 home

A record, not a signal β€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 2.5 β€” the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 42.5 β€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time β€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick β€” see every band.

SP+ team strength Β· 2026

AwayWisconsin#53 (+3.8)scores 21.6 Β· allows 17.5
HomeUCLA#46 (+5.4)scores 29.1 Β· allows 23.7

SP+ implies UCLA -3.7 versus the market's -2.5 β€” a 1.2-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick β€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total42.5O -115 Β· U -105

Line movement

Spread (home)

-3.5 β†’ -2.5+1.0

Total

46.5 β†’ 42.5-4.0

crossed 3 Β· flips 5.4%200 checks Β· Oct 11 – Oct 16

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open β€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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