
Penn State
Nittany Lions · Big Ten
Efficiency & record
With the ball
Efficiency (PPA)0.17874
Success rate46.3%81
Explosiveness1.1925
Points per trip4.3282
Without it
Efficiency allowed0.04368
Success allowed41.2%54
Havoc15.9%53
Stuff rate18.2%43
Last three seasons · 28 games
Overall ATS
13-15
Straight up
19-9
Over / under
15-13
Avg margin
+13.14
home 6-8away 5-5as favorite 10-12as underdog 3-3
A record, not a signal — we measured these splits at 50% ATS. Compare teams on the efficiency board.
Returning production · 2026
123rd of 136 FBS teams by overall returning production
Overall
7.6%
Passing
3.3%
Rushing
-1.6%*
Receiving
14.5%
* Outside 0–100% on purpose. Production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the returning share above 100, and a returning group whose combined contribution was negative shows below zero. The bar is clamped for layout; the number is not.
Futures
Big Ten Championship Game+1700
National Championship+12000
To Make the Playoff+950
Number 1 Seed+30000
To Make the Playoffs+190
To Make the Playoffs-235
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 10.5+280
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 10.5-370
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 9.5-146
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 9.5+120
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 8.5-110
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 8.5-110
Conference Win Totals Over 5.5-175
Conference Win Totals Under 5.5+144






