Dinger Hub

Who's going yard today?

Sunday, August 30, 2026

HR props

284

Avg score

Strong 70+

Best park

NYY1.07

Last Dinger of the Day Ben Rice Over 0.5 — hit 0 HR: MISSED ❌

All-time headline pick: 4-21

Dinger of the Day

Sal Stewart

CIN - Batter

Over 0.5 HR(+270)

PF 1.0575F12 mph S+48.0% model EV

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•Averaging 0.4 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Shota Imanaga (1.86 HR/9, 30 HR allowed, 3.78 ERA) — HR-prone, prime target
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost
•Positive expected value (+48.0% model EV)

vs Shota Imanaga at Wrigley Field

80Elite

Bet on DraftKings

How the Dinger Score works

A 0-100 blend of the things that actually precede a home run, all from our own data: recent HR rate and per-game average (his last 10 and 20 games), park factor for tonight's stadium, the opposing starter's HR/9 (20+ IP required before it counts), weather (heat and wind blowing out), and model EV against the posted price. 70+ is a strong spot; it is a ranking of situation quality, not a prediction, and it says nothing about whether the price is worth it — that's what the EV number is for.

All HR Props

180 of 180

SortPriceGame

Sal Stewart

CIN · Batter · @ CHC

7:20 PM ET

80Elite

Over 0.5 HR(+270)

4/10L10 rate 40%Park 1.05EV +48.0%

vs Shota Imanaga at Wrigley Field

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•Averaging 0.4 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Shota Imanaga (1.86 HR/9, 30 HR allowed, 3.78 ERA) — HR-prone, prime target
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost

Luis Torrens

NYM · Batter · vs HOU

3:10 PM ET

70Strong

Over 0.5 HR(+980)

4/10L10 rate 40%Park 0.95EV +332.0%

vs Ethan Pecko at Citi Field

•Averaging 0.4 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Ethan Pecko (limited sample, 8 IP)
•Positive expected value (+332.0% model EV)

Oneil Cruz

PIT · Batter · @ STL

2:15 PM ET

67Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+349)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 0.99EV +34.7%

vs Matthew Liberatore at Busch Stadium

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Matthew Liberatore (1.60 HR/9, 23 HR allowed, 5.44 ERA) — gives up the long ball above league avg
•Hot weather (92F) -- ball carries further
•Positive expected value (+34.7% model EV)

Pete Alonso

BAL · Batter · @ OAK

4:05 PM ET

65Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+243)

4/10L10 rate 40%Park 0.92EV +37.2%

vs Jeffrey Springs at Oakland Coliseum

•Oakland Coliseum (PF 0.92) -- suppresses home runs
•Averaging 0.4 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Jeffrey Springs (2.28 HR/9, 30 HR allowed, 6.08 ERA) — HR-prone, prime target
•Positive expected value (+37.2% model EV)

Dylan Beavers

BAL · Batter · @ OAK

4:05 PM ET

60Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+640)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 0.92EV +122.0%

vs Jeffrey Springs at Oakland Coliseum

•Oakland Coliseum (PF 0.92) -- suppresses home runs
•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Jeffrey Springs (2.28 HR/9, 30 HR allowed, 6.08 ERA) — HR-prone, prime target
•Positive expected value (+122.0% model EV)

Coby Mayo

BAL · Batter · @ OAK

4:05 PM ET

60Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+306)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 0.92EV +21.8%

vs Jeffrey Springs at Oakland Coliseum

•Oakland Coliseum (PF 0.92) -- suppresses home runs
•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Jeffrey Springs (2.28 HR/9, 30 HR allowed, 6.08 ERA) — HR-prone, prime target
•Positive expected value (+21.8% model EV)

Sal Stewart

CIN · Batter · @ CHC

7:20 PM ET

60Solid

Over 1.5 HR(+2500)

4/10L10 rate 0%Park 1.05EV 0.0%

vs Shota Imanaga at Wrigley Field

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•Averaging 0.4 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Shota Imanaga (1.86 HR/9, 30 HR allowed, 3.78 ERA) — HR-prone, prime target
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost

Jackson Chourio

MIL · Batter · vs TEX

2:10 PM ET

59Solid

Over 1.5 HR(+5300)-1.2

2/10L10 rate 10%Park 1.02EV +440.0%

vs Kumar Rocker at American Family Field

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Kumar Rocker (1.28 HR/9, 18 HR allowed, 4.41 ERA)
•Hot weather (87F) -- ball carries further
•Wind blowing out (14 mph SW) -- HR boost

Jackson Chourio

MIL · Batter · vs TEX

2:10 PM ET

59Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+464)-1.2

2/10L10 rate 20%Park 1.02EV +12.8%

vs Kumar Rocker at American Family Field

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Kumar Rocker (1.28 HR/9, 18 HR allowed, 4.41 ERA)
•Hot weather (87F) -- ball carries further
•Wind blowing out (14 mph SW) -- HR boost

Kyle Schwarber

PHI · Batter · @ LAA

4:07 PM ET

59Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+255)-2.7

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 0.97EV +6.5%

vs Yusei Kikuchi at Angel Stadium

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Yusei Kikuchi (1.25 HR/9, 5 HR allowed, 6.25 ERA)
•Hot weather (85F) -- ball carries further
•Positive expected value (+6.5% model EV)

Matt McLain

CIN · Batter · @ CHC

7:20 PM ET

55Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+536)

2/10L10 rate 20%Park 1.05EV +27.2%

vs Shota Imanaga at Wrigley Field

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•0.2 HR/G over last 10 games
•Facing Shota Imanaga (1.86 HR/9, 30 HR allowed, 3.78 ERA) — HR-prone, prime target
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost

Zach Neto

LAA · Batter · vs PHI

4:07 PM ET

54Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+576)+1.0

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 0.97EV +102.8%

vs Zack Wheeler at Angel Stadium

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Zack Wheeler (1.38 HR/9, 19 HR allowed, 3.40 ERA)
•Hot weather (85F) -- ball carries further
•Positive expected value (+102.8% model EV)

Jordan Walker

STL · Batter · vs PIT

2:15 PM ET

54Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+463)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 0.99EV +68.9%

vs Braxton Ashcraft at Busch Stadium

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Braxton Ashcraft (1.22 HR/9, 21 HR allowed, 3.59 ERA)
•Hot weather (92F) -- ball carries further
•Positive expected value (+68.9% model EV)

Brandon Lowe

PIT · Batter · @ STL

2:15 PM ET

52Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+476)

2/10L10 rate 20%Park 0.99EV +15.2%

vs Matthew Liberatore at Busch Stadium

•0.2 HR/G over last 10 games
•Facing Matthew Liberatore (1.60 HR/9, 23 HR allowed, 5.44 ERA) — gives up the long ball above league avg
•Hot weather (92F) -- ball carries further
•Positive expected value (+15.2% model EV)

Oneil Cruz

PIT · Batter · @ STL

2:15 PM ET

52Solid

Over 1.5 HR(+3400)

3/10L10 rate 0%Park 0.99EV 0.0%

vs Matthew Liberatore at Busch Stadium

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Matthew Liberatore (1.60 HR/9, 23 HR allowed, 5.44 ERA) — gives up the long ball above league avg
•Hot weather (92F) -- ball carries further

Tristan Peters

CHW · Batter · @ MIN

2:10 PM ET

50Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+710)

5/10L10 rate 50%Park 1.01EV +305.0%

at Target Field

•Averaging 0.5 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Positive expected value (+305.0% model EV)

Bo Bichette

NYM · Batter · vs HOU

3:10 PM ET

50Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+700)

2/10L10 rate 20%Park 0.95EV +60.0%

vs Ethan Pecko at Citi Field

•0.2 HR/G over last 10 games
•Facing Ethan Pecko (limited sample, 8 IP)
•Positive expected value (+60.0% model EV)

Carson Benge

NYM · Batter · vs HOU

3:10 PM ET

50Solid

Over 0.5 HR(+557)

2/10L10 rate 20%Park 0.95EV +31.4%

vs Ethan Pecko at Citi Field

•0.2 HR/G over last 10 games
•Facing Ethan Pecko (limited sample, 8 IP)
•Positive expected value (+31.4% model EV)

Luis Torrens

NYM · Batter · vs HOU

3:10 PM ET

50Solid

Over 1.5 HR(+1000)

4/10L10 rate 0%Park 0.95EV 0.0%

vs Ethan Pecko at Citi Field

•Averaging 0.4 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Ethan Pecko (limited sample, 8 IP)

Brian Serven

OAK · Batter · @ BAL

4:05 PM ET

45Average

Over 0.5 HR(+870)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 1.04EV +191.0%

at Camden Yards

•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Positive expected value (+191.0% model EV)

Michael Conforto

CHC · Batter · vs CIN

7:20 PM ET

45Average

Over 0.5 HR(+520)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 1.05EV +86.0%

vs Chase Burns at Wrigley Field

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Chase Burns (0.90 HR/9, 14 HR allowed, 2.77 ERA)
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost

Alex Bregman

CHC · Batter · vs CIN

7:20 PM ET

45Average

Over 0.5 HR(+482)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 1.05EV +74.6%

vs Chase Burns at Wrigley Field

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•Averaging 0.4 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Chase Burns (0.90 HR/9, 14 HR allowed, 2.77 ERA)
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost

Ian Happ

CHC · Batter · vs CIN

7:20 PM ET

45Average

Over 0.5 HR(+441)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 1.05EV +62.3%

vs Chase Burns at Wrigley Field

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Chase Burns (0.90 HR/9, 14 HR allowed, 2.77 ERA)
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost

Michael Busch

CHC · Batter · vs CIN

7:20 PM ET

45Average

Over 0.5 HR(+433)

3/10L10 rate 30%Park 1.05EV +59.9%

vs Chase Burns at Wrigley Field

•Wrigley Field (PF 1.05) -- hitter-friendly park
•Averaging 0.3 HR/G over last 10 -- locked in
•Facing Chase Burns (0.90 HR/9, 14 HR allowed, 2.77 ERA)
•Wind blowing out (12 mph S) -- HR boost

Showing 24 of 180

Park Factor Leaderboard

Stadium	Park Factor	Label	Weather	Wind
Yankee Stadium(NYY)	1.07	Hitter-friendly	79F	11 mph SW
Wrigley Field(CHC)	1.05	Hitter-friendly	75F	12 mph S
Rogers Centre(TOR)	1.03	Slightly hitter-friendly	67F	5 mph S
American Family Field(MIL)	1.02	Slightly hitter-friendly	87F	14 mph SW
Truist Park(ATL)	1.01	Neutral	85F	9 mph E
Target Field(MIN)	1.01	Neutral	77F	6 mph SE
ATH(ATH)	1.00	Neutral	--	--
Nationals Park(WSH)	0.99	Neutral	85F	7 mph S
Busch Stadium(STL)	0.99	Neutral	92F	6 mph S
Progressive Field(CLE)	0.98	Neutral	77F	5 mph W
Angel Stadium(LAA)	0.97	Slightly pitcher-friendly	85F	5 mph SW
Comerica Park(DET)	0.96	Slightly pitcher-friendly	74F	8 mph S
Citi Field(NYM)	0.95	Slightly pitcher-friendly	78F	9 mph SW
Tropicana Field(TB)	0.93	Pitcher-friendly	86F	2 mph E