Line Movement
Where today's prop prices are going, across every book we track. Steam = the Over price shortening (money arriving on it); drift = the market cooling. Moves are measured in implied-probability points from today's opening snapshot.
Sharp Split — Pinnacle Moved, DraftKings Hasn't
The sharp book repriced but DK is still at the old number — the classic stale-price window.
Gabriel Moreno
Drift -3.5Total Bases O1.5
DRA +114→+113 · BET -106→+112 · PIN -103→+125
Justin Wrobleski
Drift -3.5Hits Allowed O5.5
PIN -148→-116 · DRA -132→-127
Framber Valdez
Drift -2.8Hits Allowed O5.5
PIN -132→-109 · DRA -115→-111
Zack Wheeler
Drift -2.4Strikeouts O6.5
DRA -140→-145 · BET -156→-133 · PIN -139→-116
Vaughn Grissom
Drift -2.4Total Bases O1.5
DRA +142→+145 · BET +135→+145 · PIN +124→+152
Framber Valdez
Drift -2.3ER Allowed O2.5
PIN -104→+116 · DRA -101→-101
Steaming — money on the Over
Carson Palmquist
Steam +15.6Strikeouts O1.5
PIN -107→-206
Jake Rogers
Steam +14.9Hits O3.5
FAN +19900→+550
Hao-Yu Lee Hits + Runs +
Steam +10.0RBIs O1.5
DRA +136→-110
Hao-Yu Lee
Steam +9.7Total Bases O0.5
PIN -143→-218
Noah Schultz
Steam +8.6Walks Allowed O1.5
DRA -112→-159
Geraldo Perdomo
Steam +8.4Stolen Bases O0.5
BET +650→+360
Drifting — market cooling
Derek Hill
Drift -16.2Hits O3.5
FAN +500→+19900
Tyler Phillips
Drift -10.0Pitching Outs O14.5
BET -159→-122 · PIN -164→+106
Kevin Alcántara
Drift -9.1Total Bases O0.5
PIN -118→+122
Luis Castillo
Drift -7.1Strikeouts O5.5
DRA -160→-124 · BET -164→-110 · PIN -150→-121
Jake Rogers
Drift -6.8Total Bases O2.5
FAN +300→+450
Spencer Torkelson Hits + Runs +
Drift -6.6RBIs O1.5
DRA -102→+128
Today's Biggest Moves
| Prop | Trend | betrivers open→now | draftkings open→now | fanduel open→now | pinnacle open→now | Move | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Hill · Hits O3.5 | — | — | +500 → +19900 | — | Drift -16.2 | ||
| Carson Palmquist · Strikeouts O1.5 | — | — | — | -107 → -206 | Steam +15.6 | ||
| Jake Rogers · Hits O3.5 | — | — | +19900 → +550 | — | Steam +14.9 | ||
| Hao-Yu Lee Hits + Runs + · RBIs O1.5 | — | +136 → -110 | — | — | Steam +10.0 | ||
| Tyler Phillips · Pitching Outs O14.5 | -159 → -122 | — | — | -164 → +106 | Drift -10.0 | ||
| Hao-Yu Lee · Total Bases O0.5 | — | — | — | -143 → -218 | Steam +9.7 | ||
| Kevin Alcántara · Total Bases O0.5 | — | — | — | -118 → +122 | Drift -9.1 | ||
| Noah Schultz · Walks Allowed O1.5 | — | -112 → -159 | — | — | Steam +8.6 | ||
| Geraldo Perdomo · Stolen Bases O0.5 | +650 → +360 | — | — | — | Steam +8.4 | ||
| Lucas Spence · Stolen Bases O0.5 | — | — | +1000 → +490 | — | Steam +7.9 | ||
| Alec Burleson · Home Runs O0.5 | — | — | — | +393 → +258 | Steam +7.6 | ||
| Braden Montgomery · RBIs O0.5 | — | +217 → +164 | +200 → +140 | — | Steam +7.3 | ||
| Carson Palmquist · Hits Allowed O2.5 | — | — | — | -119 → -160 | Steam +7.2 | ||
| Eugenio Suárez · Home Runs O0.5 | — | — | — | +408 → +272 | Steam +7.2 | ||
| Luis Castillo · Strikeouts O5.5 | -164 → -110 | -160 → -124 | — | -150 → -121 | Drift -7.1 | ||
| Jake Rogers · Total Bases O2.5 | — | — | +300 → +450 | — | Drift -6.8 | ||
| Spencer Torkelson Hits + Runs + · RBIs O1.5 | — | -102 → +128 | — | — | Drift -6.6 | ||
| Mickey Moniak · Hits O1.5 | +138 → +175 | +146 → +197 | — | — | Drift -6.3 | ||
| Tyler Phillips · Hits Allowed O4.5 | — | -132 → +103 | — | -139 → -115 | Drift -6.2 | ||
| Jake Rogers · Home Runs O0.5 | — | — | +480 → +800 | — | Drift -6.1 |
Movement measured across our DraftKings / FanDuel / Pinnacle snapshots (4× daily). Related: Market Pulse for current best prices and public splits · the lesson on steam, drift & CLV.