ML Model Picks
Top 30 model picks with an edge
Last 7 Days
50-39
Win Rate
0%Total Picks
07-Day Trend
ML Ensemble Model
Picks are scored by an ensemble machine learning model (Random Forest + ExtraTrees + Gradient Boosting) trained on 4,000+ historical picks. The model evaluates hit rate, EV, opponent defense, odds value, and player consistency to identify high-probability plays. Ranked by ML confidence score.
Baylor Scheierman
vs PHIHit Rate
60%Hit Edge
+3%ML Edge
+6%EV
+15%Opp Def
#15Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
10
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
3 — 30
Baylor Scheierman Over 4.5 PTS carries a grade of C (Score: 59/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 60% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Baylor Scheierman is averaging 9.7 PtsReb, above the 4.5 line.
Baylor Scheierman has gone over 4.5 points in 6 of his last 10 games (60% L10). His L10 average of 9.7 sits 5.2 above the line and trending upward. Well-rested with 7 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin.
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De'Aaron Fox
vs PORHit Rate
50%Hit Edge
-24%ML Edge
-14%EV
+0%Opp Def
#15Vegas Total
221.5
Pace (PPG)
241.5Fast
Consist
71
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
17 — 32
De'Aaron Fox Over 19.5 PtsAst carries a grade of C- (Score: 50/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 50% of the time with an L5 rate of 60%.
De'Aaron Fox is averaging 21.7 PTS, above the 19.5 line.
De'Aaron Fox has hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games (50% L10), a coin-flip proposition. His L10 average of 21.7 sits 2.2 above the line and trending upward. Well-rested with 7 days off. His shooting efficiency has dipped (-4% FG trend), a concern for this over.
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Andre Drummond
vs BOSHit Rate
30%Hit Edge
-19%ML Edge
+11%EV
+3%Opp Def
#1Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
26
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
5 — 14
Andre Drummond Over 7.5 PTS carries a grade of D- (Score: 24/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 30% of the time with an L5 rate of 60%.
well-rested with 4 days off. trending up with strong recent form.
Andre Drummond has only cleared 7.5 points 3 times in his last 10 games (30% L10) — a concerning hit rate. Caution: BOS ranks #1 against points, one of the toughest matchups in the league. With 2 teammates out (Joel Embiid, Cameron Payne), his usage should increase. Well-rested with 4 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities.
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Alex Caruso
vs PHXHit Rate
40%Hit Edge
-16%ML Edge
+4%EV
+1%Opp Def
#2Vegas Total
215.5
Pace (PPG)
234.2Fast
Consist
47
Trend
→ Steady
Range
2 — 6
Alex Caruso Over 5.5 PTS carries a grade of D- (Score: 30/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 40% of the time with an L5 rate of 40%.
well-rested with 7 days off.
Alex Caruso has hit this line in 4 of his last 10 games (40% L10), a coin-flip proposition. Caution: PHX ranks #2 against points, one of the toughest matchups in the league. Well-rested with 7 days off. His shooting efficiency is trending up (+5% FG), boosting his scoring upside. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Isaiah Stewart
vs ORLHit Rate
60%Hit Edge
+1%ML Edge
0%EV
+1%Opp Def
#16Vegas Total
218.5
Pace (PPG)
236.4Fast
Consist
0
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
0 — 4
Isaiah Stewart Over 0.5 AST carries a grade of D (Score: 44/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 60% of the time with an L5 rate of 40%.
well-rested with 7 days off.
Isaiah Stewart has gone over 0.5 assists in 6 of his last 10 games (60% L10). His L10 average of 1.1 sits 0.6 above the line, though trending slightly down. Well-rested with 7 days off. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Tristan da Silva
vs DETHit Rate
80%Hit Edge
+15%ML Edge
-6%EV
+25%Opp Def
#11Vegas Total
218.5
Pace (PPG)
236.4Fast
Consist
52
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
4 — 14
Tristan da Silva Over 4.5 PtsAst carries a grade of B- (Score: 65/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 80% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Tristan da Silva has gone over 4.5 PTS in 8 of the last 10 games.
Tristan da Silva has cleared 4.5 pts+ast in 8 of his last 10 games (80% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 10.3 sits 5.8 above the line, though trending slightly down. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His shooting efficiency is trending up (+7% FG), boosting his scoring upside.
Tristan da Silva has demonstrated a consistently strong performance well above the 4.5 Points + Assists line, hitting OVER in 80% of his last 10 games and an even higher 90% over his last 20. His recent averages (8.4 in L5, 10.3 in L10, 13.1 in L20) far exceed the line, indicating a significant cushion and strong likelihood to continue this trend.
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Tristan da Silva
vs DETHit Rate
80%Hit Edge
+14%ML Edge
-7%EV
+22%Opp Def
#7Vegas Total
218.5
Pace (PPG)
236.4Fast
Consist
1
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
0 — 6
Tristan da Silva Over 0.5 AST carries a grade of C- (Score: 54/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 80% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Tristan da Silva has gone over 0.5 FG3M in 8 of the last 10 games.
Tristan da Silva has cleared 0.5 assists in 8 of his last 10 games (80% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 2.1 sits 1.6 above the line, though trending slightly down. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Grayson Allen
vs OKCHit Rate
100%Hit Edge
+18%ML Edge
-23%EV
+17%Opp Def
#2Vegas Total
215.5
Pace (PPG)
234.2Fast
Consist
63
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
6 — 13
Grayson Allen Over 5.5 PTS carries a grade of C+ (Score: 62/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 100% of the time with an L5 rate of 100%.
Grayson Allen has gone over 5.5 AST in 10 of the last 10 games.
Grayson Allen has cleared 5.5 points in 10 of his last 10 games (100% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 12.5 sits 7.0 above the line, though trending slightly down. Caution: OKC ranks #2 against points, one of the toughest matchups in the league. Well-rested with 7 days off. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin.
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Scoot Henderson
vs SASHit Rate
70%Hit Edge
+7%ML Edge
-5%EV
+9%Opp Def
#18Vegas Total
221.5
Pace (PPG)
241.5Fast
Consist
57
Trend
→ Steady
Range
2 — 4
Scoot Henderson Over 2.5 AST carries a grade of B- (Score: 65/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 70% of the time with an L5 rate of 60%.
Scoot Henderson has gone over 2.5 AST in 7 of the last 10 games. well-rested with 5 days off.
Scoot Henderson has gone over 2.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games (70% L10). His L10 average of 3.3 sits 0.8 above the line. Well-rested with 5 days off. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin.
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Desmond Bane
vs DETHit Rate
80%Hit Edge
+9%ML Edge
-13%EV
+16%Opp Def
#20Vegas Total
218.5
Pace (PPG)
236.4Fast
Consist
27
Trend
→ Steady
Range
0 — 3
Desmond Bane Over 0.5 STL carries a grade of B- (Score: 68/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 80% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Desmond Bane has gone over 0.5 STL in 8 of the last 10 games.
Desmond Bane has cleared 0.5 steals in 8 of his last 10 games (80% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 1.4 sits 0.9 above the line. DET ranks #20 in steals defense, a favorable matchup. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Andre Drummond
vs BOSHit Rate
40%Hit Edge
-17%ML Edge
0%EV
+9%Opp Def
#9Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
35
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
3 — 16
Andre Drummond Over 9.5 REB carries a grade of D- (Score: 39/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 40% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
well-rested with 4 days off. trending up with strong recent form.
Andre Drummond has hit this line in 4 of his last 10 games (40% L10), a coin-flip proposition. With 2 teammates out (Joel Embiid, Cameron Payne), his usage should increase. Well-rested with 4 days off. His usage rate is modest (27%), but injuries to teammates could boost his role. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Shaedon Sharpe
vs SASHit Rate
90%Hit Edge
+1%ML Edge
-32%EV
+6%Opp Def
#17Vegas Total
221.5
Pace (PPG)
241.5Fast
Consist
45
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
2 — 19
Shaedon Sharpe Over 5.5 PTS carries a grade of B- (Score: 67/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 90% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Shaedon Sharpe has gone over 5.5 AST in 9 of the last 10 games.
Shaedon Sharpe has cleared 5.5 points in 9 of his last 10 games (90% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 15.7 sits 10.2 above the line, though trending slightly down. Well-rested with 5 days off. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His shooting efficiency has dipped (-8% FG trend), a concern for this over.
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Shaedon Sharpe
vs SASHit Rate
90%Hit Edge
+11%ML Edge
-22%EV
+15%Opp Def
#17Vegas Total
221.5
Pace (PPG)
241.5Fast
Consist
50
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
4 — 20
Shaedon Sharpe Over 9.5 PtsReb carries a grade of B (Score: 72/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 90% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Shaedon Sharpe has gone over 9.5 PtsAst in 9 of the last 10 games.
Shaedon Sharpe has cleared 9.5 pts+reb in 9 of his last 10 games (90% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 18.7 sits 9.2 above the line, though trending slightly down. Well-rested with 5 days off. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His shooting efficiency has dipped (-8% FG trend), a concern for this over.
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Anthony Black
vs DETHit Rate
70%Hit Edge
+12%ML Edge
-1%EV
+25%Opp Def
#10Vegas Total
218.5
Pace (PPG)
236.4Fast
Consist
46
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
3 — 6
Anthony Black Over 2.5 REB carries a grade of C+ (Score: 63/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 70% of the time with an L5 rate of 100%.
Anthony Black has gone over 2.5 AstReb in 7 of the last 10 games.
Anthony Black has gone over 2.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games (70% L10). His L10 average of 3.2 sits 0.7 above the line and trending upward. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play. Erratic playing time adds risk — minute fluctuations could swing the outcome.
Anthony Black’s OVER 2.5 rebounds bet looks well-supported by his recent performance data, with a strong 100% hit rate over the last 5 games and a robust average of 4.4 rebounds in that span, significantly above the 2.5 line. His consistency hovering around 70% hit rate across longer windows and stable home/away splits further bolster the case for the OVER.
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Devin Booker
vs OKCHit Rate
90%Hit Edge
+22%ML Edge
-11%EV
+23%Opp Def
#14Vegas Total
215.5
Pace (PPG)
234.2Fast
Consist
81
Trend
→ Steady
Range
23 — 42
Devin Booker Over 24.5 PtsReb carries a grade of B+ (Score: 79/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 90% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Devin Booker has gone over 24.5 PtsAst in 9 of the last 10 games.
Devin Booker has cleared 24.5 pts+reb in 9 of his last 10 games (90% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 31.5 sits 7.0 above the line. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His high free throw rate (55%) provides a reliable floor for his scoring. His output has been extremely consistent — a reliable producer at this line.
Devin Booker’s OVER 24.5 Points + Rebounds prop is strongly supported by elite recent production and consistency. He has gone OVER in 90% of his last 10 games and maintains a high average well above the line, signaling a strong likelihood to surpass 24.5 again.
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Tyrese Maxey
vs BOSHit Rate
60%Hit Edge
-1%ML Edge
-4%EV
+6%Opp Def
#1Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
52
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
1 — 8
Tyrese Maxey Over 5.5 AST carries a grade of D- (Score: 36/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 60% of the time with an L5 rate of 40%.
BOS ranks #26 (bottom 6) in defending AST. well-rested with 4 days off.
Tyrese Maxey has gone over 5.5 assists in 6 of his last 10 games (60% L10). His L10 average of 6.0 sits 0.5 above the line, though trending slightly down. Caution: BOS ranks #1 against assists, one of the toughest matchups in the league. With 2 teammates out (Joel Embiid, Cameron Payne), his usage should increase. Well-rested with 4 days off.
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Chet Holmgren
vs PHXHit Rate
60%Hit Edge
-4%ML Edge
-8%EV
+3%Opp Def
#12Vegas Total
215.5
Pace (PPG)
234.2Fast
Consist
22
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
1 — 4
Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 BLK carries a grade of D+ (Score: 47/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 60% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
well-rested with 7 days off. trending up with strong recent form.
Chet Holmgren has gone over 1.5 blocks in 6 of his last 10 games (60% L10). His L10 average of 2.1 sits 0.6 above the line and trending upward. Well-rested with 7 days off. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Nikola Vucevic
vs PHIHit Rate
50%Hit Edge
-6%ML Edge
0%EV
+1%Opp Def
#17Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
5
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
0 — 5
Nikola Vucevic Over 1.5 AST carries a grade of D+ (Score: 47/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 50% of the time with an L5 rate of 60%.
well-rested with 7 days off. trending up with strong recent form.
Nikola Vucevic has hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games (50% L10), a coin-flip proposition. His L10 average of 2.3 sits 0.8 above the line and trending upward. Well-rested with 7 days off. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Tyrese Maxey
vs BOSHit Rate
40%Hit Edge
-22%ML Edge
-6%EV
+3%Opp Def
#1Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
80
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
15 — 32
Tyrese Maxey Over 24.5 PTS carries a grade of D- (Score: 38/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 40% of the time with an L5 rate of 40%.
BOS ranks #27 (bottom 6) in defending BLK. well-rested with 4 days off.
Tyrese Maxey has hit this line in 4 of his last 10 games (40% L10), a coin-flip proposition. Caution: BOS ranks #1 against points, one of the toughest matchups in the league. With 2 teammates out (Joel Embiid, Cameron Payne), his usage should increase. Well-rested with 4 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities.
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Adem Bona
vs BOSHit Rate
70%Hit Edge
-12%ML Edge
-26%EV
+2%Opp Def
#8Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
34
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
4 — 16
Adem Bona Over 4.5 PtsRebAst carries a grade of D (Score: 43/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 70% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Adem Bona has gone over 4.5 PtsReb in 7 of the last 10 games.
Adem Bona has gone over 4.5 pts+reb+ast in 7 of his last 10 games (70% L10). His L10 average of 8.1 sits 3.6 above the line, though trending slightly down. With 2 teammates out (Joel Embiid, Cameron Payne), his usage should increase. Well-rested with 4 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities.
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Jaylen Brown
vs PHIHit Rate
80%Hit Edge
+14%ML Edge
-10%EV
+15%Opp Def
#16Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
84
Trend
→ Steady
Range
26 — 46
Jaylen Brown Over 29.5 PtsReb carries a grade of B+ (Score: 75/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 80% of the time with an L5 rate of 60%.
Jaylen Brown has gone over 29.5 PtsAst in 8 of the last 10 games.
Jaylen Brown has cleared 29.5 pts+reb in 8 of his last 10 games (80% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 36.5 sits 7.0 above the line. Well-rested with 7 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
vs PHXHit Rate
80%Hit Edge
-6%ML Edge
-30%EV
+1%Opp Def
#2Vegas Total
215.5
Pace (PPG)
234.2Fast
Consist
79
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
27 — 50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 PtsAst carries a grade of C- (Score: 50/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 80% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has gone over 29.5 PTS in 8 of the last 10 games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has cleared 29.5 pts+ast in 8 of his last 10 games (80% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 35.5 sits 6.0 above the line, though trending slightly down. Caution: PHX ranks #2 against pts+ast, one of the toughest matchups in the league. Well-rested with 7 days off. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin.
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Mark Williams
vs OKCHit Rate
50%Hit Edge
-8%ML Edge
-2%EV
+9%Opp Def
#2Vegas Total
215.5
Pace (PPG)
234.2Fast
Consist
67
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
4 — 8
Mark Williams Over 6.5 REB carries a grade of D- (Score: 34/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 50% of the time with an L5 rate of 40%.
well-rested with 5 days off.
Mark Williams has hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games (50% L10), a coin-flip proposition. His L10 average of 6.7 sits 0.2 above the line, though trending slightly down. Caution: OKC ranks #2 against rebounds, one of the toughest matchups in the league. Well-rested with 5 days off. His usage rate is modest (29%), but injuries to teammates could boost his role.
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Andre Drummond
vs BOSHit Rate
40%Hit Edge
-10%ML Edge
+6%EV
+16%Opp Def
#8Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
36
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
8 — 26
Andre Drummond Over 17.5 PtsReb carries a grade of D (Score: 41/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 40% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
well-rested with 4 days off. trending up with strong recent form.
Andre Drummond has hit this line in 4 of his last 10 games (40% L10), a coin-flip proposition. With 2 teammates out (Joel Embiid, Cameron Payne), his usage should increase. Well-rested with 4 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities. His shooting efficiency is trending up (+5% FG), boosting his scoring upside.
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Jaylen Brown
vs PHIHit Rate
70%Hit Edge
+16%ML Edge
+2%EV
+21%Opp Def
#16Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
82
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
27 — 53
Jaylen Brown Over 35.5 PtsRebAst carries a grade of B (Score: 71/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 70% of the time with an L5 rate of 40%.
Jaylen Brown has gone over 35.5 PtsRebAst in 7 of the last 10 games.
Jaylen Brown has gone over 35.5 pts+reb+ast in 7 of his last 10 games (70% L10). His L10 average of 41.5 sits 6.0 above the line, though trending slightly down. Well-rested with 7 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin.
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Shaedon Sharpe
vs SASHit Rate
90%Hit Edge
+3%ML Edge
-31%EV
+7%Opp Def
#18Vegas Total
221.5
Pace (PPG)
241.5Fast
Consist
55
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
6 — 21
Shaedon Sharpe Over 9.5 PtsRebAst carries a grade of B- (Score: 69/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 90% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Shaedon Sharpe has gone over 9.5 PtsReb in 9 of the last 10 games.
Shaedon Sharpe has cleared 9.5 pts+reb+ast in 9 of his last 10 games (90% L10) — an elite hit rate. His L10 average of 21.2 sits 11.7 above the line, though trending slightly down. Well-rested with 5 days off. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His shooting efficiency has dipped (-8% FG trend), a concern for this over.
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Jayson Tatum
vs PHIHit Rate
70%Hit Edge
+10%ML Edge
-5%EV
+24%Opp Def
#17Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
48
Trend
→ Steady
Range
4 — 11
Jayson Tatum Over 4.5 AST carries a grade of B- (Score: 69/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 70% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
Jayson Tatum has gone over 4.5 FG3M in 7 of the last 10 games.
Jayson Tatum has gone over 4.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games (70% L10). His L10 average of 6.1 sits 1.6 above the line. Well-rested with 7 days off. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
Jayson Tatum’s assist production has been strong and consistent recently, hitting OVER 4.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 games (70%) with a robust average of 6.1 assists over that span—well above the 4.5 line. His L5 hit rate is even higher at 80%, and he is coming off a full 7 days rest, which supports sustained playmaking effectiveness.
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Andre Drummond
vs BOSHit Rate
50%Hit Edge
-3%ML Edge
+2%EV
+14%Opp Def
#8Vegas Total
213.5
Pace (PPG)
234.5Fast
Consist
39
Trend
↗ Hot
Range
9 — 27
Andre Drummond Over 18.5 PtsRebAst carries a grade of D (Score: 44/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 50% of the time with an L5 rate of 80%.
well-rested with 4 days off. trending up with strong recent form.
Andre Drummond has hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games (50% L10), a coin-flip proposition. With 2 teammates out (Joel Embiid, Cameron Payne), his usage should increase. Well-rested with 4 days off. The game total is set at 213.5 — a lower-paced game, which could limit scoring opportunities. His shooting efficiency is trending up (+5% FG), boosting his scoring upside.
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Tristan da Silva
vs DETHit Rate
70%Hit Edge
+15%ML Edge
0%EV
+24%Opp Def
#11Vegas Total
218.5
Pace (PPG)
236.4Fast
Consist
39
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
2 — 12
Tristan da Silva Over 4.5 PTS carries a grade of C (Score: 56/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 70% of the time with an L5 rate of 60%.
Tristan da Silva has gone over 4.5 PtsReb in 7 of the last 10 games. +24% expected value.
Tristan da Silva has gone over 4.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games (70% L10). His L10 average of 8.2 sits 3.7 above the line, though trending slightly down. The line is set low relative to his recent output — an easy clear with margin. His shooting efficiency is trending up (+7% FG), boosting his scoring upside. His output has been volatile, adding uncertainty to this play.
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Mark Williams
vs OKCHit Rate
50%Hit Edge
-7%ML Edge
-2%EV
+9%Opp Def
#14Vegas Total
215.5
Pace (PPG)
234.2Fast
Consist
73
Trend
↘ Cold
Range
5 — 9
Mark Williams Over 7.5 AstReb carries a grade of D+ (Score: 47/100). Over the last 10 games, he's cleared this line 50% of the time with an L5 rate of 40%.
well-rested with 5 days off.
Mark Williams has hit this line in 5 of his last 10 games (50% L10), a coin-flip proposition. Well-rested with 5 days off. His usage rate is modest (29%), but injuries to teammates could boost his role.
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