Model Picks

How a pick is chosen

Each prop is priced by comparing the DraftKings price to Pinnacle's no-vig (vig-removed) price for the same line. A pick is a prop where DraftKings pays more than Pinnacle's fair price implies — positive expected value against the sharpest line in the market. Grades reflect the size of that edge. Hit rate, opponent defense and recent form are shown alongside for context; they are not what selects a pick. Every pick is graded in public on the Results page.