Top Picks

1. 1

   Heaviest FavoriteEnglish Premier League

   Arsenal

   1X2 · Burnley vs Arsenal · Mon, May 18, 11:00 PM

   Arsenal is the shortest match-winner price on the slate at −1200 — DK has them at ~92% to win. Last 8: Arsenal averaging 1.97 xG-for vs 1.29 xG-against (net +0.68/g) with 3W in last 5; Burnley sitting at -0.99 xGD/g.

   −1200

   DK
2. 2

   Heaviest FavoriteEnglish Premier League

   Man Utd

   1X2 · Nottingham Forest vs Man Utd · Sun, May 17, 3:30 PM

   Man Utd is the shortest match-winner price on the slate at −155 — DK has them at ~61% to win. Last 8: Man Utd averaging 1.50 xG-for vs 1.59 xG-against (net -0.09/g) with 3W in last 5; Nottingham Forest sitting at -0.06 xGD/g.

   −155

   DK
3. 3

   Best StrikerEnglish Premier League

   Viktor Gyokeres

   Anytime Goalscorer · Burnley vs Arsenal · Mon, May 18, 11:00 PM

   Viktor Gyokeres is the best-priced anytime scorer in Burnley vs Arsenal at −165 (~62% implied). 14 goals on 13.5 xG across 34 starts (0.41 G/g, 0.40 xG/g). Scored in 4 of last 10 (40%).

   L10 hit rate40%(4/10)

   avg 0.60

   −165

   DK
4. 4

   Best StrikerEnglish Premier League

   Thiago

   Anytime Goalscorer · Crystal Palace vs Brentford · Sun, May 17, 6:00 PM

   Thiago is the best-priced anytime scorer in Crystal Palace vs Brentford at −125 (~56% implied). 22 goals on 24.5 xG across 36 starts (0.61 G/g, 0.68 xG/g) — running below xG, due for regression. Scored in 4 of last 10 (40%).

   L10 hit rate40%(4/10)

   avg 0.50

   −125

   DK
5. 5

   Goal FestEnglish Premier League

   

   Over 2.5

   Total Goals O/U · Burnley vs Arsenal · Mon, May 18, 11:00 PM

   Over 2.5 priced at −310 (~76% implied) — DK expects fireworks. Combined expected goals (avg of teams' xG-for vs opponent xG-against) ≈ 3.24. Burnley averages 0.63/g for, 2.13/g against; Arsenal 1.5/g for, 0.63/g against (last 8).

   −310

   DK
6. 6

   Goal FestEnglish Premier League

   

   Over 2.5

   Total Goals O/U · West Ham vs Newcastle · Sun, May 17, 8:30 PM

   Over 2.5 priced at −205 (~67% implied) — DK expects fireworks. Combined expected goals (avg of teams' xG-for vs opponent xG-against) ≈ 3.16. West Ham averages 1/g for, 1/g against; Newcastle 1.25/g for, 1.25/g against (last 8).

   −205

   DK
7. 7

   Defensive BetEnglish Premier League

   

   Under 2.5

   Total Goals O/U · Sunderland vs Everton · Sun, May 17, 6:00 PM

   Under 2.5 priced at −115 (~53% implied) — DK expects a tight, low-scoring match. Combined expected goals (avg of teams' xG-for vs opponent xG-against) ≈ 3.04. Sunderland averages 1/g for, 1.5/g against; Everton 1.75/g for, 1.63/g against (last 8).

   −115

   DK
8. 8

   BTTS LockEnglish Premier League

   

   Both Teams Score · Yes

   BTTS · West Ham vs Newcastle · Sun, May 17, 8:30 PM

   BTTS Yes priced −240 (~71% implied) — DK expects both teams to find the net. West Ham scoring 1/g and conceding 1/g; Newcastle scoring 1.25/g, conceding 1.25/g — both sides hitting the scoresheet regularly.

   −240

   DK
9. 9

   Shots SpecialEnglish Premier League

   Gabriel Jesus

   Player Shots on Target · Burnley vs Arsenal · Mon, May 18, 11:00 PM

   Gabriel Jesus is heavily favored for 1+ shot on target at −600 (~86% implied). Averaging 1.2 shots/g (0.0 on target) across 13 starts. Hit the line in 8 of last 10 (80%).

   L10 hit rate80%(8/10)

   avg 1.10

   −600

   DK

Picks regenerate every 15 minutes from DraftKings odds. Not betting advice — gamble responsibly.