#16

Mississippi State

Bulldogs · SEC

Efficiency & record

With the ball

Efficiency (PPA)0.07637
Success rate41.5%38
Explosiveness1.2766
Points per trip4.4184

Without it

Efficiency allowed0.16223
Success allowed44.2%24
Havoc13.5%16
Stuff rate14.2%7

Last three seasons · 23 games

Overall ATS

13-10

Straight up

5-18

Over / under

13-10

Avg margin

-6.52

home 6-6away 7-3as favorite 4-2as underdog 9-8

A record, not a signal — we measured these splits at 50% ATS. Compare teams on the efficiency board.

Returning production · 2026

84th of 136 FBS teams by overall returning production

Overall
33.9%
Passing
-0.2%*
Rushing
87.3%
Receiving
27.9%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose. Production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the returning share above 100, and a returning group whose combined contribution was negative shows below zero. The bar is clamped for layout; the number is not.

Futures

SEC Championship Game+1300
National Championship+8000
To Make the Playoff+410
Number 1 Seed+13000
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 8.5-180
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 8.5+146
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 7.5+105
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 7.5-130
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 6.5-210
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 6.5+170
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 5.5-200
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 5.5+160
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 4.5-150
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 4.5+125
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 3.5+270
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 3.5-350
Conference Win Totals Under 2.5-115
Conference Win Totals Over 2.5-105

Schedule & lines· 6

All win totals · AP Top 25