#1

Texas

Longhorns · SEC

Efficiency & record

With the ball

Efficiency (PPA)0.14665
Success rate40.5%29
Explosiveness1.3792
Points per trip3.5235

Without it

Efficiency allowed0.01977
Success allowed39.4%68
Havoc17.9%82
Stuff rate21.4%76

Last three seasons · 28 games

Overall ATS

13-15

Straight up

22-6

Over / under

11-16-1

Avg margin

+13.71

home 8-5away 2-7as favorite 12-12as underdog 1-3

A record, not a signal — we measured these splits at 50% ATS. Compare teams on the efficiency board.

Returning production · 2026

20th of 136 FBS teams by overall returning production

Overall
72.1%
Passing
85.4%
Rushing
126.4%*
Receiving
55.0%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose. Production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the returning share above 100, and a returning group whose combined contribution was negative shows below zero. The bar is clamped for layout; the number is not.

Futures

SEC Championship Game-120
National Championship+600
To Make the Playoff-700
Number 1 Seed+220
To Make the Playoffs-370
To Make the Playoffs+280
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 10.5+115
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 10.5-140
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 9.5-166
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 9.5+134
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 8.5-310
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 8.5+245
Conference Win Totals Over 6.5-130
Conference Win Totals Under 6.5+110

Schedule & lines· 5

All win totals · AP Top 25