Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

OKCOklahoma City Thunder

SASSan Antonio Spurs

510 props available

Game Day Briefing

Matchup Overview

Tonight's OKC vs SAS matchup features 510 player props. There are 158 props with 70%+ hit rates — a strong slate for confident plays.

OKC Prop Angles

Cason Wallace leads the way with a 100% L10 hit rate on Over 0.5 3-Pointers. Ajay Mitchell's Over 17.5 Points shows +170% expected value — the top edge for OKC. The opponent's defense is weak against assists and ast+reb, creating opportunities.

SAS Prop Angles

De'Aaron Fox leads the way with a 100% L10 hit rate on Over 4.5 Assists. Devin Vassell's Over 6.5 Rebounds shows +114% expected value — the top edge for SAS. The opponent's defense is weak against 3-pointers, creating opportunities.

Bobby's Take

The standout play tonight is Ajay Mitchell Over 17.5 Points (+170% EV, 50% L10).

Defense Rankings

OKC

PTS9REB12AST13STL8BLK113PM11

SAS

PTS5REB18AST10STL6BLK93PM22

Same-Game Parlays

Top EV SGP

3-Leg

Ajay Mitchell

Over 17.5 PTS

50%+439

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Over 8.5 AST

60%+282

Devin Vassell

Over 5.5 REB

60%+238

Combined

+6859

$10 Payout

$695.94

+134%

Bet on DraftKings

Hot Streak SGP

3-Leg

De'Aaron Fox

Over 4.5 AST

100%-179

Cason Wallace

Over 0.5 3PM

100%-482

Victor Wembanyama

Over 17.5 PTS

100%-542

Combined

+123

$10 Payout

$22.29

+32%

Bet on DraftKings

Category Mix SGP

3-Leg

Ajay Mitchell

Over 17.5 PTS

50%+439

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Over 8.5 AST

60%+282

Devin Vassell

Over 6.5 REB

40%+434

Combined

+10895

$10 Payout

$1099.50

+137%

Bet on DraftKings

All Props

⌘K

510

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 17.5PTS+439

L10 HR

Model EV+170%

DEF#7

B-

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 19.5PtsReb+284

L10 HR

Model EV+130%

DEF#10

C+

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvs

SAS

Over 8.5AST+282

L10 HR

Model EV+129%

DEF#3

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 4.5AST+339

L10 HR

Model EV+120%

DEF#3

C-

Devin Vassell

SASvs

OKC

Over 6.5REB+434

L10 HR

Model EV+114%

DEF#18

C+

Devin Vassell

SASvs

OKC

Over 5.5REB+238

L10 HR

Model EV+103%

DEF#18

B-

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 24.5PtsRebAst+401

L10 HR

Model EV+100%

DEF#8

D+

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 19.5PtsAst+299

L10 HR

Model EV+100%

DEF#7

C-

Jared McCain

OKCvs

SAS

Over 17.5PTS+560

L10 HR

Model EV+98%

DEF#7

D+

De'Aaron Fox

SASvs

OKC

Over 11.5AstReb+295

L10 HR

Model EV+98%

DEF#12

Devin Vassell

SASvs

OKC

Over 7.5AstReb+140

L10 HR

Model EV+92%

DEF#12

C+

Julian Champagnie

SASvs

OKC

Over 3.53PM+360

L10 HR

Model EV+84%

DEF#24

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 14.5PTS+206

L10 HR

Model EV+84%

DEF#7

C-

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvs

SAS

Over 7.5AST+161

L10 HR

Model EV+83%

DEF#3

C-

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 3.5AST+158

L10 HR

Model EV+81%

DEF#3

A-

Julian Champagnie

SASvs

OKC

Over 19.5PtsReb+323

L10 HR

Model EV+69%

DEF#13

D+

Jared McCain

OKCvs

SAS

Over 11.5PTS+137

L10 HR

Model EV+66%

DEF#7

C-

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 19.5PtsRebAst+135

L10 HR

Model EV+65%

DEF#8

C-

Isaiah Hartenstein

OKCvs

SAS

Over 9.5PTS+173

L10 HR

Model EV+64%

DEF#16

Jared McCain

OKCvs

SAS

Over 19.5PtsRebAst+308

L10 HR

Model EV+63%

DEF#8

De'Aaron Fox

SASvs

OKC

Over 4.5AST-179

L10 HR

Model EV+56%

DEF#5

Devin Vassell

SASvs

OKC

Over 4.5REB+122

L10 HR

Model EV+55%

DEF#18

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKCvs

SAS

Over 6.5AST-110

L10 HR

Model EV+53%

DEF#3

C-

Cason Wallace

OKCvs

SAS

Over 2.53PM+277

L10 HR

Model EV+51%

DEF#12

D+

Ajay Mitchell

OKCvs

SAS

Over 5.5AstReb-151

L10 HR

Model EV+50%

DEF#6

B-

Player	Line	Cat	Odds	Hit Rates	EV	Grade	DK Implied	Opp Def Rank	vs
Ajay Mitchell	Over 17.5	PTS	+439	40% L5 50% L6 62.5% L8 50% L10 33.3% L15 25% L20	+170%	B-	19%	#7	SAS	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 19.5	PtsReb	+284	40% L5 50% L6 62.5% L8 60% L10 40% L15 30% L20	+130%	C+	26%	#10	SAS	DK

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Over 8.5	AST	+282	60% L5 66.7% L6 62.5% L8 60% L10 46.7% L15 40% L20	+129%	C	26%	#3	SAS	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 4.5	AST	+339	40% L5 50% L6 50% L8 50% L10 40% L15 40% L20	+120%	C-	23%	#3	SAS	DK

Devin Vassell	Over 6.5	REB	+434	60% L5 50% L6 37.5% L8 40% L10 26.7% L15 20% L20	+114%	C+	19%	#18	OKC	DK

Devin Vassell	Over 5.5	REB	+238	60% L5 66.7% L6 50% L8 60% L10 46.7% L15 45% L20	+103%	B-	30%	#18	OKC	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 24.5	PtsRebAst	+401	40% L5 50% L6 50% L8 40% L10 26.7% L15 20% L20	+100%	D+	20%	#8	SAS	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 19.5	PtsAst	+299	40% L5 50% L6 62.5% L8 50% L10 33.3% L15 30% L20	+100%	C-	25%	#7	SAS	DK

Jared McCain	Over 17.5	PTS	+560	40% L5 33.3% L6 25% L8 30% L10 20% L15 15% L20	+98%	D+	15%	#7	SAS	DK

De'Aaron Fox	Over 11.5	AstReb	+295	20% L5 16.7% L6 37.5% L8 50% L10 40% L15 40% L20	+98%	C	25%	#12	OKC	DK

Devin Vassell	Over 7.5	AstReb	+140	80% L5 83.3% L6 75% L8 80% L10 66.7% L15 70% L20	+92%	C+	42%	#12	OKC	DK

Julian Champagnie	Over 3.5	3PM	+360	40% L5 50% L6 50% L8 40% L10 33.3% L15 35% L20	+84%	C	22%	#24	OKC	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 14.5	PTS	+206	40% L5 50% L6 62.5% L8 60% L10 40% L15 35% L20	+84%	C-	33%	#7	SAS	DK

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Over 7.5	AST	+161	60% L5 66.7% L6 75% L8 70% L10 66.7% L15 60% L20	+83%	C-	38%	#3	SAS	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 3.5	AST	+158	60% L5 66.7% L6 75% L8 70% L10 53.3% L15 50% L20	+81%	A-	39%	#3	SAS	DK

Julian Champagnie	Over 19.5	PtsReb	+323	40% L5 50% L6 50% L8 40% L10 40% L15 40% L20	+69%	D+	24%	#13	OKC	DK

Jared McCain	Over 11.5	PTS	+137	80% L5 83.3% L6 75% L8 70% L10 60% L15 50% L20	+66%	C-	42%	#7	SAS	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 19.5	PtsRebAst	+135	40% L5 50% L6 62.5% L8 70% L10 46.7% L15 40% L20	+65%	C-	43%	#8	SAS	DK

Isaiah Hartenstein	Over 9.5	PTS	+173	60% L5 66.7% L6 50% L8 60% L10 46.7% L15 45% L20	+64%	C	37%	#16	SAS	DK

Jared McCain	Over 19.5	PtsRebAst	+308	60% L5 66.7% L6 50% L8 40% L10 26.7% L15 20% L20	+63%	D	25%	#8	SAS	DK

De'Aaron Fox	Over 4.5	AST	-179	100% L5 100% L6 100% L8 100% L10 86.7% L15 85% L20	+56%	C	64%	#5	OKC	DK

Devin Vassell	Over 4.5	REB	+122	80% L5 83.3% L6 62.5% L8 70% L10 60% L15 65% L20	+55%	C	45%	#18	OKC	DK

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Over 6.5	AST	-110	80% L5 83.3% L6 87.5% L8 80% L10 80% L15 80% L20	+53%	C-	52%	#3	SAS	DK

Cason Wallace	Over 2.5	3PM	+277	40% L5 50% L6 37.5% L8 40% L10 26.7% L15 25% L20	+51%	D+	27%	#12	SAS	DK

Ajay Mitchell	Over 5.5	AstReb	-151	80% L5 83.3% L6 87.5% L8 90% L10 80% L15 70% L20	+50%	B-	60%	#6	SAS	DK

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