AI-Powered MLB Picks
Today's Best MLB Game Picks
Data-driven picks powered by team statistics, pitching matchups, park factors, and DraftKings odds analysis.
32Picks
12High Conf
12ML
2Run Line
18Totals
Best Bet of the Day
A+
High
Moneyline
+17.5%Model Edge
- •Model gives NYY a 26.0% win probability vs DraftKings implied 8.5% -- a 17.5% edge.
- •NYY averages 5.24 runs/game, outscoring DET (4.68 R/G).
- •Home-field advantage at Yankee Stadium.
- •Starting Will Warren on the mound.
All Ranked Picks
26 games analyzed#1
A+
High
Moneyline
+17.5%Model Edge
DET@NYYJun 30 · 7:11 PM ET
NYY ML +1000
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 26.0%DK Implied: 8.5%
PF 1.07 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Troy MeltonvsSP: Will Warren
R/G5.24
ERA3.91
OPS0.787
Record48-36
AI Analysis
- •Model gives NYY a 26.0% win probability vs DraftKings implied 8.5% -- a 17.5% edge.
- •NYY averages 5.24 runs/game, outscoring DET (4.68 R/G).
- •Home-field advantage at Yankee Stadium.
- •Starting Will Warren on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.68
R/G
5.243.95
ERA
3.910.729
OPS
0.7871.22
HR/G
1.691.25
WHIP
1.25Jun 30 · 7:11 PM ETYankee Stadium
Full Breakdown #2
A+
High
Moneyline
+10.5%Model Edge
PIT@PHIJun 30 · 6:42 PM ET
PIT ML +397
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 29.4%DK Implied: 18.9%
PF 1.06 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Paul SkenesvsSP: Zack Wheeler
R/G3.60
ERA3.76
OPS0.655
Record43-42
AI Analysis
- •Model gives PIT a 29.4% win probability vs DraftKings implied 18.9% -- a 10.5% edge.
- •Starting Paul Skenes on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
3.60
R/G
4.803.76
ERA
3.790.655
OPS
0.7590.72
HR/G
1.311.22
WHIP
1.23Jun 30 · 6:42 PM ETCitizens Bank Park
Full Breakdown #3
A+
High
Total
+6.8Run Diff
CHW@BALJun 30 · 6:36 PM ET
Under 15.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.04 · Slightly hitter-friendly
Proj8.7
Line15.5
Diff6.8
PF1.04
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 8.7 runs vs line of 15.5 -- a 6.8-run discrepancy.
- •Combined pitching strength: CHW (4.26 ERA) and BAL (4.60 ERA) limit scoring.
Head-to-Head Stats
3.99
R/G
4.184.26
ERA
4.600.675
OPS
0.6991.02
HR/G
1.181.36
WHIP
1.37Jun 30 · 6:36 PM ETCamden Yards
Full Breakdown #4
A+
High
Total
+5.5Run Diff
NYM@TORJun 30 · 7:07 PM ET
Over 4.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.03 · Slightly hitter-friendly
SP: Freddy PeraltavsSP: TBD
Proj10.0
Line4.5
Diff5.5
PF1.03
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 10.0 runs vs line of 4.5 -- a 5.5-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: NYM (4.73 R/G) + TOR (4.93 R/G) = 9.7 combined R/G.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.73
R/G
4.934.03
ERA
4.190.753
OPS
0.7601.38
HR/G
1.181.32
WHIP
1.27Jun 30 · 7:07 PM ETRogers Centre
Full Breakdown #5
A+
High
Total
+3.9Run Diff
PIT@PHIJun 30 · 6:42 PM ET
Over 5.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.06 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Paul SkenesvsSP: Zack Wheeler
Proj9.4
Line5.5
Diff3.9
PF1.06
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 9.4 runs vs line of 5.5 -- a 3.9-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: PIT (3.60 R/G) + PHI (4.80 R/G) = 8.4 combined R/G.
- •Citizens Bank Park (PF 1.06) is hitter-friendly -- hitter-friendly. Totals trend higher here.
Head-to-Head Stats
3.60
R/G
4.803.76
ERA
3.790.655
OPS
0.7590.72
HR/G
1.311.22
WHIP
1.23Jun 30 · 6:42 PM ETCitizens Bank Park
Full Breakdown #6
A+
High
Total
+3.3Run Diff
WSH@BOSJun 30 · 7:12 PM ET
Over 6.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.08 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Andrew AlvarezvsSP: Payton Tolle
Proj9.8
Line6.5
Diff3.3
PF1.08
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 9.8 runs vs line of 6.5 -- a 3.3-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: WSH (4.24 R/G) + BOS (4.85 R/G) = 9.1 combined R/G.
- •Fenway Park (PF 1.08) is hitter-friendly -- hitter-friendly. Totals trend higher here.
- •WSH pitching staff (5.35 ERA) is vulnerable -- expect runs.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.24
R/G
4.855.35
ERA
3.700.693
OPS
0.7450.99
HR/G
1.151.45
WHIP
1.29Jun 30 · 7:12 PM ETFenway Park
Full Breakdown #7
A+
High
Total
+2.5Run Diff
STL@ATLJun 30 · 7:16 PM ET
Over 6.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.01 · Neutral
SP: Michael McGreevyvsSP: Reynaldo López
Proj9.0
Line6.5
Diff2.5
PF1.01
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 9.0 runs vs line of 6.5 -- a 2.5-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: STL (4.25 R/G) + ATL (4.47 R/G) = 8.7 combined R/G.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.25
R/G
4.474.29
ERA
4.360.693
OPS
0.7190.91
HR/G
1.171.32
WHIP
1.31Jun 30 · 7:16 PM ETTruist Park
Full Breakdown #8
A+
High
Total
+2.2Run Diff
LAD@OAKJun 30 · 9:40 PM ET
Under 11
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 0.92 · Pitcher-friendly
Proj8.8
Line11
Diff2.2
PF0.92
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 8.8 runs vs line of 11 -- a 2.2-run discrepancy.
- •Combined pitching strength: LAD (3.95 ERA) and OAK (4.70 ERA) limit scoring.
- •Oakland Coliseum (PF 0.92) is pitcher-friendly -- suppresses offense.
Head-to-Head Stats
5.09
R/G
4.523.95
ERA
4.700.768
OPS
0.7491.51
HR/G
1.351.26
WHIP
1.36Jun 30 · 9:40 PM ETOakland Coliseum
Full Breakdown #9
A+
High
Total
+2.1Run Diff
TEX@CLEJun 30 · 6:41 PM ET
Over 6.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 0.98 · Neutral
SP: MacKenzie GorevsSP: Joey Cantillo
Proj8.6
Line6.5
Diff2.1
PF0.98
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 8.6 runs vs line of 6.5 -- a 2.1-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: TEX (4.22 R/G) + CLE (3.97 R/G) = 8.2 combined R/G.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.22
R/G
3.973.47
ERA
3.700.683
OPS
0.6691.08
HR/G
1.041.18
WHIP
1.26Jun 30 · 6:41 PM ETProgressive Field
Full Breakdown #10
A+
High
Run Line
+1.7Run Edge
PIT@PHIJun 30 · 6:42 PM ET
PHI +2.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.06 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Paul SkenesvsSP: Zack Wheeler
Margin+0.8
ERA3.79
HR/G1.31
WHIP1.23
AI Analysis
- •Projected scoring margin of +0.75 runs favoring PHI vs 2.5-run line.
- •PHI scores 4.80 R/G while PIT manages 3.60 -- a 1.20 run differential.
- •PHI has power advantage with 1.31 HR/G -- blowout potential supports covering the line.
Head-to-Head Stats
3.60
R/G
4.803.76
ERA
3.790.655
OPS
0.7590.72
HR/G
1.311.22
WHIP
1.23Jun 30 · 6:42 PM ETCitizens Bank Park
Full Breakdown #11
A
High
Total
+1.8Run Diff
DET@NYYJun 30 · 7:11 PM ET
Under 12.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.07 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Troy MeltonvsSP: Will Warren
Proj10.7
Line12.5
Diff1.8
PF1.07
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 10.7 runs vs line of 12.5 -- a 1.8-run discrepancy.
- •Combined pitching strength: DET (3.95 ERA) and NYY (3.91 ERA) limit scoring.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.68
R/G
5.243.95
ERA
3.910.729
OPS
0.7871.22
HR/G
1.691.25
WHIP
1.25Jun 30 · 7:11 PM ETYankee Stadium
Full Breakdown #12
A
High
Total
+1.5Run Diff
LAA@SEAJun 30 · 9:40 PM ET
Over 7
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 0.95 · Slightly pitcher-friendly
Proj8.5
Line7
Diff1.5
PF0.95
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 8.5 runs vs line of 7 -- a 1.5-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: LAA (4.15 R/G) + SEA (4.73 R/G) = 8.9 combined R/G.
- •LAA pitching staff (4.89 ERA) is vulnerable -- expect runs.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.15
R/G
4.734.89
ERA
3.870.695
OPS
0.7401.40
HR/G
1.471.43
WHIP
1.22Jun 30 · 9:40 PM ETT-Mobile Park
Full Breakdown #13
A
Medium
Total
+1.5Run Diff
SD@CHCJun 30 · 8:05 PM ET
Under 11.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.05 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Walker BuehlervsSP: Colin Rea
Proj10.0
Line11.5
Diff1.5
PF1.05
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 10.0 runs vs line of 11.5 -- a 1.5-run discrepancy.
- •Combined pitching strength: SD (3.63 ERA) and CHC (3.79 ERA) limit scoring.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.33
R/G
4.903.63
ERA
3.790.711
OPS
0.7500.94
HR/G
1.381.21
WHIP
1.18Jun 30 · 8:05 PM ETWrigley Field
Full Breakdown #14
A
Medium
Total
+1.4Run Diff
PIT@PHIJul 1 · 6:40 PM ET
Over 8
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.06 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Paul SkenesvsSP: Zack Wheeler
Proj9.4
Line8
Diff1.4
PF1.06
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 9.4 runs vs line of 8 -- a 1.4-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: PIT (3.60 R/G) + PHI (4.80 R/G) = 8.4 combined R/G.
- •Citizens Bank Park (PF 1.06) is hitter-friendly -- hitter-friendly. Totals trend higher here.
Head-to-Head Stats
3.60
R/G
4.803.76
ERA
3.790.655
OPS
0.7590.72
HR/G
1.311.22
WHIP
1.23Jul 1 · 6:40 PM ETCitizens Bank Park
Full Breakdown #15
A
Medium
Total
+1.4Run Diff
TB@KCJul 1 · 7:40 PM ET
Under 10
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 0.97 · Slightly pitcher-friendly
SP: Shane McClanahanvsSP: Seth Lugo
Proj8.6
Line10
Diff1.4
PF0.97
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 8.6 runs vs line of 10 -- a 1.4-run discrepancy.
- •Combined pitching strength: TB (3.94 ERA) and KC (3.73 ERA) limit scoring.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.41
R/G
4.023.94
ERA
3.730.714
OPS
0.7061.12
HR/G
0.981.22
WHIP
1.24Jul 1 · 7:40 PM ETKauffman Stadium
Full Breakdown #16
A
Medium
Total
+1.4Run Diff
CIN@MILJun 30 · 7:39 PM ET
Over 8.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.02 · Slightly hitter-friendly
SP: Andrew AbbottvsSP: Shane Drohan
Proj9.9
Line8.5
Diff1.4
PF1.02
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 9.9 runs vs line of 8.5 -- a 1.4-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: CIN (4.42 R/G) + MIL (4.98 R/G) = 9.4 combined R/G.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.42
R/G
4.983.86
ERA
3.580.706
OPS
0.7351.03
HR/G
1.021.22
WHIP
1.23Jun 30 · 7:39 PM ETAmerican Family Field
Full Breakdown #17
A
Medium
Total
+1.4Run Diff
CIN@MILJul 1 · 8:10 PM ET
Over 8.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.02 · Slightly hitter-friendly
SP: Andrew AbbottvsSP: Shane Drohan
Proj9.9
Line8.5
Diff1.4
PF1.02
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 9.9 runs vs line of 8.5 -- a 1.4-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: CIN (4.42 R/G) + MIL (4.98 R/G) = 9.4 combined R/G.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.42
R/G
4.983.86
ERA
3.580.706
OPS
0.7351.03
HR/G
1.021.22
WHIP
1.23Jul 1 · 8:10 PM ETAmerican Family Field
Full Breakdown #18
B+
Medium
Moneyline
+5.9%Model Edge
STL@ATLJun 30 · 7:16 PM ET
STL ML +177
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 39.8%DK Implied: 33.9%
PF 1.01 · Neutral
SP: Michael McGreevyvsSP: Reynaldo López
R/G4.25
ERA4.29
OPS0.693
Record43-38
AI Analysis
- •Model gives STL a 39.8% win probability vs DraftKings implied 33.9% -- a 5.9% edge.
- •Starting Michael McGreevy on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.25
R/G
4.474.29
ERA
4.360.693
OPS
0.7190.91
HR/G
1.171.32
WHIP
1.31Jun 30 · 7:16 PM ETTruist Park
Full Breakdown #19
B+
Medium
Moneyline
+4.4%Model Edge
WSH@BOSJun 30 · 7:12 PM ET
WSH ML +150
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 42.0%DK Implied: 37.6%
PF 1.08 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Andrew AlvarezvsSP: Payton Tolle
R/G4.24
ERA5.35
OPS0.693
Record43-43
AI Analysis
- •Model gives WSH a 42.0% win probability vs DraftKings implied 37.6% -- a 4.4% edge.
- •Starting Andrew Alvarez on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.24
R/G
4.855.35
ERA
3.700.693
OPS
0.7450.99
HR/G
1.151.45
WHIP
1.29Jun 30 · 7:12 PM ETFenway Park
Full Breakdown #20
B+
Medium
Moneyline
+4.4%Model Edge
LAA@SEAJun 30 · 9:40 PM ET
LAA ML +158
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 41.4%DK Implied: 37.0%
PF 0.95 · Slightly pitcher-friendly
R/G4.15
ERA4.89
OPS0.695
Record--
AI Analysis
- •Model gives LAA a 41.4% win probability vs DraftKings implied 37.0% -- a 4.4% edge.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.15
R/G
4.734.89
ERA
3.870.695
OPS
0.7401.40
HR/G
1.471.43
WHIP
1.22Jun 30 · 9:40 PM ETT-Mobile Park
Full Breakdown #21
B+
Medium
Moneyline
+4.2%Model Edge
LAD@OAKJun 30 · 9:40 PM ET
OAK ML +149
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 42.6%DK Implied: 38.4%
PF 0.92 · Pitcher-friendly
R/G4.52
ERA4.70
OPS0.749
Record--
AI Analysis
- •Model gives OAK a 42.6% win probability vs DraftKings implied 38.4% -- a 4.2% edge.
- •Home-field advantage at Oakland Coliseum.
Head-to-Head Stats
5.09
R/G
4.523.95
ERA
4.700.768
OPS
0.7491.51
HR/G
1.351.26
WHIP
1.36Jun 30 · 9:40 PM ETOakland Coliseum
Full Breakdown #22
B+
Medium
Total
+0.9Run Diff
MIA@COLJun 30 · 8:40 PM ET
Under 11
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.27 · Extreme hitter park
SP: Max MeyervsSP: Kyle Freeland
Proj10.1
Line11
Diff0.9
PF1.27
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 10.1 runs vs line of 11 -- a 0.9-run discrepancy.
- •Combined pitching strength: MIA (4.60 ERA) and COL (5.97 ERA) limit scoring.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.38
R/G
3.694.60
ERA
5.970.707
OPS
0.6790.95
HR/G
0.991.30
WHIP
1.58Jun 30 · 8:40 PM ETCoors Field
Full Breakdown #23
B+
Medium
Total
+0.9Run Diff
MIA@COLJul 1 · 8:40 PM ET
Under 11
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.27 · Extreme hitter park
SP: Max MeyervsSP: Kyle Freeland
Proj10.1
Line11
Diff0.9
PF1.27
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 10.1 runs vs line of 11 -- a 0.9-run discrepancy.
- •Combined pitching strength: MIA (4.60 ERA) and COL (5.97 ERA) limit scoring.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.38
R/G
3.694.60
ERA
5.970.707
OPS
0.6790.95
HR/G
0.991.30
WHIP
1.58Jul 1 · 8:40 PM ETCoors Field
Full Breakdown #24
B+
Medium
Total
+0.8Run Diff
SF@ARIJun 30 · 9:40 PM ET
Over 9
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.05 · Hitter-friendly
Proj9.8
Line9
Diff0.8
PF1.05
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 9.8 runs vs line of 9 -- a 0.8-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: SF (4.35 R/G) + ARI (4.88 R/G) = 9.2 combined R/G.
- •Chase Field (PF 1.05) is hitter-friendly -- hitter-friendly. Totals trend higher here.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.35
R/G
4.883.82
ERA
4.490.697
OPS
0.7581.07
HR/G
1.321.30
WHIP
1.32Jun 30 · 9:40 PM ETChase Field
Full Breakdown #25
B+
Medium
Run Line
+0.7Run Edge
PIT@PHIJul 1 · 6:40 PM ET
PHI +1.5
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.06 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Paul SkenesvsSP: Zack Wheeler
Margin+0.8
ERA3.79
HR/G1.31
WHIP1.23
AI Analysis
- •Projected scoring margin of +0.75 runs favoring PHI vs 1.5-run line.
- •PHI scores 4.80 R/G while PIT manages 3.60 -- a 1.20 run differential.
- •PHI has power advantage with 1.31 HR/G -- blowout potential supports covering the line.
Head-to-Head Stats
3.60
R/G
4.803.76
ERA
3.790.655
OPS
0.7590.72
HR/G
1.311.22
WHIP
1.23Jul 1 · 6:40 PM ETCitizens Bank Park
Full Breakdown #26
B
Low
Moneyline
+3.0%Model Edge
MIA@COLJul 1 · 8:40 PM ET
COL ML +135
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 43.7%DK Implied: 40.7%
PF 1.27 · Extreme hitter park
SP: Max MeyervsSP: Kyle Freeland
R/G3.69
ERA5.97
OPS0.679
Record33-52
AI Analysis
- •Model gives COL a 43.7% win probability vs DraftKings implied 40.7% -- a 3.0% edge.
- •Home-field advantage at Coors Field.
- •Starting Kyle Freeland on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.38
R/G
3.694.60
ERA
5.970.707
OPS
0.6790.95
HR/G
0.991.30
WHIP
1.58Jul 1 · 8:40 PM ETCoors Field
Full Breakdown #27
B
Low
Moneyline
+3.0%Model Edge
CIN@MILJul 1 · 8:10 PM ET
CIN ML +135
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 43.7%DK Implied: 40.7%
PF 1.02 · Slightly hitter-friendly
SP: Andrew AbbottvsSP: Shane Drohan
R/G4.42
ERA3.86
OPS0.706
Record39-44
AI Analysis
- •Model gives CIN a 43.7% win probability vs DraftKings implied 40.7% -- a 3.0% edge.
- •Starting Andrew Abbott on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.42
R/G
4.983.86
ERA
3.580.706
OPS
0.7351.03
HR/G
1.021.22
WHIP
1.23Jul 1 · 8:10 PM ETAmerican Family Field
Full Breakdown #28
B
Low
Moneyline
+3.0%Model Edge
SD@CHCJun 30 · 8:05 PM ET
SD ML +134
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 43.1%DK Implied: 40.1%
PF 1.05 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Walker BuehlervsSP: Colin Rea
R/G4.33
ERA3.63
OPS0.711
Record43-40
AI Analysis
- •Model gives SD a 43.1% win probability vs DraftKings implied 40.1% -- a 3.0% edge.
- •Starting Walker Buehler on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.33
R/G
4.903.63
ERA
3.790.711
OPS
0.7500.94
HR/G
1.381.21
WHIP
1.18Jun 30 · 8:05 PM ETWrigley Field
Full Breakdown #29
B
Low
Moneyline
+3.0%Model Edge
TB@KCJun 30 · 7:40 PM ET
TB ML +115
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 46.7%DK Implied: 43.7%
PF 0.97 · Slightly pitcher-friendly
SP: Shane McClanahanvsSP: Seth Lugo
R/G4.41
ERA3.94
OPS0.714
Record48-33
AI Analysis
- •Model gives TB a 46.7% win probability vs DraftKings implied 43.7% -- a 3.0% edge.
- •TB averages 4.41 runs/game, outscoring KC (4.02 R/G).
- •Starting Shane McClanahan on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.41
R/G
4.023.94
ERA
3.730.714
OPS
0.7061.12
HR/G
0.981.22
WHIP
1.24Jun 30 · 7:40 PM ETKauffman Stadium
Full Breakdown #30
B
Low
Moneyline
+2.7%Model Edge
WSH@BOSJul 1 · 1:35 PM ET
WSH ML +129
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 44.5%DK Implied: 41.7%
PF 1.08 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Andrew AlvarezvsSP: Payton Tolle
R/G4.24
ERA5.35
OPS0.693
Record43-43
AI Analysis
- •Model gives WSH a 44.5% win probability vs DraftKings implied 41.7% -- a 2.7% edge.
- •Starting Andrew Alvarez on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.24
R/G
4.855.35
ERA
3.700.693
OPS
0.7450.99
HR/G
1.151.45
WHIP
1.29Jul 1 · 1:35 PM ETFenway Park
Full Breakdown #31
B
Low
Moneyline
+2.1%Model Edge
TB@KCJul 1 · 7:40 PM ET
KC ML +119
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
Model: 45.8%DK Implied: 43.7%
PF 0.97 · Slightly pitcher-friendly
SP: Shane McClanahanvsSP: Seth Lugo
R/G4.02
ERA3.73
OPS0.706
Record35-50
AI Analysis
- •Model gives KC a 45.8% win probability vs DraftKings implied 43.7% -- a 2.1% edge.
- •Home-field advantage at Kauffman Stadium.
- •Starting Seth Lugo on the mound.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.41
R/G
4.023.94
ERA
3.730.714
OPS
0.7061.12
HR/G
0.981.22
WHIP
1.24Jul 1 · 7:40 PM ETKauffman Stadium
Full Breakdown #32
B
Low
Total
+0.7Run Diff
DET@NYYJul 1 · 1:35 PM ET
Over 10
Bet NowOdds via DraftKings
PF 1.07 · Hitter-friendly
SP: Troy MeltonvsSP: Will Warren
Proj10.7
Line10
Diff0.7
PF1.07
AI Analysis
- •Projected total of 10.7 runs vs line of 10 -- a 0.7-run discrepancy.
- •Combined offense: DET (4.68 R/G) + NYY (5.24 R/G) = 9.9 combined R/G.
- •Yankee Stadium (PF 1.07) is hitter-friendly -- hitter-friendly. Totals trend higher here.
Head-to-Head Stats
4.68
R/G
5.243.95
ERA
3.910.729
OPS
0.7871.22
HR/G
1.691.25
WHIP
1.25Jul 1 · 1:35 PM ETYankee Stadium
Full Breakdown Odds from DraftKings. Team stats from MLB Stats API. Park factors from historical data. Analysis is auto-generated for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.