Red Sox
BOS (74-62)
Yankees
NYY (77-59)
Red Sox
BOS (74-62)
SP: Ranger Suarez
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
NYY (77-59)
SP: Will Warren
57%Moneyline
Bet on DraftKings
Run Line
-1.5
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Total
O/U 4.5
Bet on DraftKings
The Read
The market makes the Red Sox the favorite — about 57% implied to beat the Yankees, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 4.5, a low-scoring script.
The Red Sox carry the pitching edge — 3.29 ERA / 1.20 WHIP versus 4.31 the other way.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.4 runs/game (BOS) and 4.4 (NYY).
Conditions favor the hitters today — Yankee Stadium (PF 1.07), a tailwind for overs and power props.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Ranger Suarez
ERA
3.29
WHIP
1.20
K/9
8.8
BB/9
2.9
HR/9
0.5
IP
120.1
Will Warren
ERA
4.31
WHIP
1.41
K/9
9.1
BB/9
3.2
HR/9
1.4
IP
129.1
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
318'
CF
408'
RF
314'
79°F
10 mph
SW
Cloudy
Humidity
62%
Hitter-Favorable Conditions
- Hitter-friendly park (PF: 1.07)
- Warm (79°F) — favorable hitting conditions
- Moderate wind (10 mph SW)
Short RF porch (314 ft); big HR park for left-handed hitters.
Team Comparison
BOS