
Astros
HOU (68-68)

Mets
NYM (61-75)

Astros
HOU (68-68)
SP: Ethan Pecko
Citi Field
Mets
NYM (61-75)
SP: Zac Thornton

47%
Moneyline
Bet on DraftKings
Run Line
-1.5
Bet on DraftKings
Total
O/U 9
Bet on DraftKings
The Read
The market makes the Mets the favorite — about 53% implied to beat the Astros, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 9.
The Mets carry the pitching edge — 2.88 ERA / 1.15 WHIP versus 7.88 the other way.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.5 runs/game (HOU) and 4.1 (NYM).
Conditions favor the arms — Citi Field (PF 0.95), which caps the overs.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup


Ethan Pecko
ERA
7.88
WHIP
1.88
K/9
5.6
BB/9
7.9
HR/9
2.3
IP
8.0


Zac Thornton
ERA
2.88
WHIP
1.15
K/9
6.4
BB/9
2.2
HR/9
1.0
IP
56.1
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
335'
CF
408'
RF
330'
78°F
9 mph
SW
Cloudy
Humidity
67%
Pitcher-Favorable Conditions
- Pitcher-friendly park (PF: 0.95)
- Warm (78°F) — favorable hitting conditions
Pitcher-friendly; wind off Flushing Bay can suppress fly balls.
Team Comparison
HOU
NRFI Quick Take
SGP Builder
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