Padres
SD (72-64)
Rays
TB (81-54)
Padres
SD (72-64)
SP: Robbie Ray
Tropicana Field
Rays
TB (81-54)
SP: Drew Rasmussen
44%Moneyline
Bet on DraftKings
Run Line
-1.5
Bet on DraftKings
Total
O/U 4.5
Bet on DraftKings
The Read
The market makes the Rays the favorite — about 56% implied to beat the Padres, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 4.5, a low-scoring script.
Even starting pitching: 3.17 ERA (SD) against 2.89 (TB).
Both lineups run close in output — 4.2 runs/game (SD) and 4.5 (TB).
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Robbie Ray
ERA
3.17
WHIP
1.31
K/9
7.7
BB/9
4.4
HR/9
1.2
IP
145.0
Drew Rasmussen
ERA
2.89
WHIP
0.92
K/9
9.2
BB/9
1.6
HR/9
0.8
IP
143.1
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
315'
CF
404'
RF
322'
86°F
2 mph
NE
Clear
Humidity
74%
Neutral Conditions
- Indoor/dome — controlled environment
Indoor dome — weather irrelevant. Catwalks can interfere with fly balls. Artificial turf.
Team Comparison
SD