D-backs
ARI (74-68)
Astros
HOU (73-69)
D-backs
ARI (74-68)
SP: Brandon Pfaadt
Minute Maid Park
Astros
HOU (73-69)
SP: Ethan Pecko
50%Moneyline
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Run Line
-1.5
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Total
O/U 8.5
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The Read
The market prices this close to a coin flip (Astros 50%) — a game to attack through props and the total, not the side.
Run total sits at 8.5.
The D-backs carry the pitching edge — 3.49 ERA / 1.14 WHIP versus 6.23 the other way.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.4 runs/game (ARI) and 4.5 (HOU).
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Brandon Pfaadt
ERA
3.49
WHIP
1.14
K/9
5.9
BB/9
2.2
HR/9
1.1
IP
111.0
Ethan Pecko
ERA
6.23
WHIP
1.54
K/9
6.2
BB/9
6.2
HR/9
2.8
IP
13.0
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
315'
CF
409'
RF
326'
80°F
1 mph
W
Clear
Humidity
87%
Neutral Conditions
- Warm (80°F) — favorable hitting conditions
- High humidity (87%) — heavier air, slightly less carry
Short LF line (Crawford Boxes); retractable roof often closed in Houston heat/humidity.
Team Comparison
ARINRFI Quick Take
SGP Builder
Highest hit-rate picks from different players — combine for a same-game parlay
