
Braves
ATL (84-57)

Phillies
PHI (79-62)

Braves
ATL (84-57)
SP: Martín Pérez
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
PHI (79-62)
SP: Zack Wheeler

41%
Moneyline
Bet on DraftKings
Run Line
-1.5
Bet on DraftKings
Total
O/U 8.5
Bet on DraftKings
The Read
The market makes the Phillies the favorite — about 59% implied to beat the Braves, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 8.5.
Even starting pitching: 3.05 ERA (ATL) against 3.31 (PHI). The Phillies run the bigger swing-and-miss arm (10.6 K/9) — the strikeout props to watch.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.7 runs/game (ATL) and 4.5 (PHI).
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup


Martín Pérez
ERA
3.05
WHIP
1.21
K/9
6.8
BB/9
3.7
HR/9
0.9
IP
121.0


Zack Wheeler
ERA
3.31
WHIP
1.09
K/9
10.6
BB/9
2.8
HR/9
1.3
IP
130.1
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
329'
CF
401'
RF
330'
70°F
5 mph
NW
Clear
Humidity
83%
Neutral Conditions
- Hitter-friendly park (PF: 1.06)
- High humidity (83%) — heavier air, slightly less carry
Hitter-friendly; balls carry in warm weather. Wind off Schuylkill River.
Team Comparison
ATL
NRFI Quick Take
Both starters under 3.50 ERA — strong 1st inning pitching. Citizens Bank Park is hitter-friendly (PF 1.06).
Full NRFI Analysis →100% ClubL5 perfect
SGP Builder
Highest hit-rate picks from different players — combine for a same-game parlay




















