Reds
CIN (64-72)
Cubs
CHC (77-59)
Reds
CIN (64-72)
SP: Chase Burns
Wrigley Field
Cubs
CHC (77-59)
SP: Shota Imanaga
40%Moneyline
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Run Line
-1.5
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Total
O/U 9
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The Read
The market makes the Cubs the favorite — about 60% implied to beat the Reds, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 9.
The Reds carry the pitching edge — 2.77 ERA / 1.15 WHIP versus 3.78 the other way. The Reds run the bigger swing-and-miss arm (10.6 K/9) — the strikeout props to watch.
Cubs bring the louder bat — 5.3 runs/game (0.767 OPS) to 4.1.
Conditions favor the hitters today — Wrigley Field (PF 1.05), a tailwind for overs and power props.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Chase Burns
ERA
2.77
WHIP
1.15
K/9
10.6
BB/9
3.2
HR/9
0.9
IP
139.2
Shota Imanaga
ERA
3.78
WHIP
1.12
K/9
8.9
BB/9
2.1
HR/9
1.9
IP
145.1
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
355'
CF
400'
RF
353'
73°F
12 mph
S
Cloudy
Humidity
77%
Hitter-Favorable Conditions
- Hitter-friendly park (PF: 1.05)
- Moderate wind (12 mph S)
Wind blowing out = HR haven; wind blowing in = pitcher's park. Lake Michigan wind is critical.
Team Comparison
CINNRFI Quick Take
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