Marlins
MIA (68-68)
Nationals
WSH (65-73)
Marlins
MIA (68-68)
SP: Janson Junk
Nationals Park
Nationals
WSH (65-73)
SP: Andrew Alvarez
24%Moneyline
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Run Line
-1.5
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Total
O/U 2.5
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The Read
The market makes the Nationals the favorite — about 76% implied to beat the Marlins, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 2.5, a low-scoring script.
Even starting pitching: 4.11 ERA (MIA) against 3.47 (WSH).
Nationals bring the louder bat — 5.2 runs/game (0.754 OPS) to 4.3.
Conditions favor the hitters today — Nationals Park (PF 0.99), a tailwind for overs and power props.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Janson Junk
ERA
4.11
WHIP
1.30
K/9
6.1
BB/9
2.5
HR/9
1.1
IP
103.0
Andrew Alvarez
ERA
3.47
WHIP
1.31
K/9
8.5
BB/9
4.1
HR/9
0.5
IP
90.2
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
336'
CF
402'
RF
335'
87°F
7 mph
SW
Clear
Humidity
55%
Hitter-Favorable Conditions
- Hot (87°F) — ball carries further in warm air
Neutral park; Anacostia River breeze can affect fly balls.
Team Comparison
MIA