Pirates
PIT (66-71)
Cardinals
STL (68-69)
Pirates
PIT (66-71)
SP: Braxton Ashcraft
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
STL (68-69)
SP: Matthew Liberatore
54%Moneyline
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Run Line
-1.5
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Total
O/U 7.5
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The Read
The market makes the Pirates the favorite — about 54% implied to beat the Cardinals, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 7.5, a low-scoring script.
The Pirates carry the pitching edge — 3.59 ERA / 1.07 WHIP versus 5.44 the other way.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.8 runs/game (PIT) and 4.4 (STL).
Conditions favor the hitters today — Busch Stadium (PF 0.99), a tailwind for overs and power props.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA
3.59
WHIP
1.07
K/9
9.3
BB/9
2.0
HR/9
1.2
IP
155.1
Matthew Liberatore
ERA
5.44
WHIP
1.47
K/9
9.2
BB/9
3.1
HR/9
1.6
IP
129.0
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
336'
CF
400'
RF
335'
93°F
7 mph
S
Clear
Humidity
34%
Hitter-Favorable Conditions
- Hot (93°F) — ball carries further in warm air
Neutral park; hot/humid summer nights can boost offense slightly.
Team Comparison
PIT