Cardinals
STL (71-71)
Rockies
COL (54-87)
Cardinals
STL (71-71)
SP: Matthew Liberatore
Coors Field
Rockies
COL (54-87)
SP: Mason Adams
53%Moneyline
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Run Line
-1.5
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Total
O/U 11
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The Read
The market makes the Cardinals the favorite — about 53% implied to beat the Rockies, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 11, one of the day's higher totals.
The Rockies carry the pitching edge — 3.00 ERA / 1.44 WHIP versus 5.41 the other way. The Rockies run the bigger swing-and-miss arm (10.0 K/9) — the strikeout props to watch.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.5 runs/game (STL) and 4.7 (COL).
Conditions favor the hitters today — Coors Field (PF 1.27), a tailwind for overs and power props.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Matthew Liberatore
ERA
5.41
WHIP
1.47
K/9
9.4
BB/9
3.1
HR/9
1.7
IP
134.2
Mason Adams
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.44
K/9
10.0
BB/9
5.0
HR/9
2.0
IP
9.0
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
347'
CF
415'
RF
350'
67°F
6 mph
S
Clear
Humidity
42%
Hitter-Favorable Conditions
- High altitude (5200 ft) — extreme carry on fly balls
- Hitter-friendly park (PF: 1.27)
Highest elevation in MLB; thin air = extreme carry, breaking balls don't break. MASSIVE hitter boost.
Team Comparison
STLNRFI Quick Take
At least one pitcher with ERA above 4.50 — elevated scoring risk. Coors Field is hitter-friendly (PF 1.27).
Full NRFI Analysis →100% ClubL5 perfect
SGP Builder
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