
Rays
TB (1-1)

Guardians
CLE (1-1)

Rays
TB (1-1)
SP: Griffin Jax
Progressive Field
Guardians
CLE (1-1)
SP: Gavin Williams

45%
Moneyline
Bet on DraftKings
Run Line
-1.5
Bet on DraftKings
Total
O/U 6.5
Bet on DraftKings
The Read
The market makes the Guardians the favorite — about 55% implied to beat the Rays, laying the standard −1.5 run line.
Run total sits at 6.5, a low-scoring script.
Even starting pitching: 3.53 ERA (TB) against 3.76 (CLE). The Guardians run the bigger swing-and-miss arm (12.1 K/9) — the strikeout props to watch.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.5 runs/game (TB) and 4.2 (CLE).
Conditions favor the arms — Progressive Field (PF 0.98), which caps the overs.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup


Griffin Jax
ERA
3.53
WHIP
1.18
K/9
9.3
BB/9
2.8
HR/9
1.2
IP
112.1


Gavin Williams
ERA
3.76
WHIP
1.11
K/9
12.1
BB/9
3.0
HR/9
1.4
IP
184.1
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
325'
CF
405'
RF
325'
57°F
6 mph
NE
Cloudy
Humidity
85%
Pitcher-Favorable Conditions
- Cool (57°F) — slightly suppressed offense
- High humidity (85%) — heavier air, slightly less carry
Slightly pitcher-friendly; cold early/late-season weather suppresses offense.
Team Comparison
TB
NRFI Quick Take
SGP Builder
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