NRFI Picks — Friday, August 14, 2026

14 games scored before first pitch. 12 graded · leans went 4-5

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
MIA @ CINSandy Alcantara vs Chase Burns70Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
CHW @ DETSean Newcomb vs Jackson Jobe69Lean NRFIpending
SEA @ HOUGeorge Kirby vs Peter Lambert68Lean NRFI3 runs✗ miss
MIL @ LADRobert Gasser vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto66Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
NYY @ TORGerrit Cole vs Shane Bieber66Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
SD @ CLEMichael King vs Gavin Williams63Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
BOS @ PITJake Bennett vs Bubba Chandler60Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
TEX @ OAKKumar Rocker vs TBD60Toss-uppending
ARI @ ATLBrandon Pfaadt vs TBD58Toss-up1 runpush
COL @ SFKyle Freeland vs Landen Roupp52Toss-up0 runspush
BAL @ TBTBD vs Steven Matz49Toss-up0 runspush
STL @ CHCMatthew Liberatore vs Clay Holmes32Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
WSH @ NYMAndrew Alvarez vs Robert Stock28Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
KC @ LAASeth Lugo vs Grayson Rodriguez24Strong YRFI0 runs✗ miss

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.