NRFI Picks — Saturday, August 15, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 6-2

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
NYY @ TORCam Schlittler vs Braydon Fisher94Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
MIL @ LADJacob Misiorowski vs Justin Wrobleski85Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
BAL @ TBKyle Bradish vs Ian Seymour72Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
TEX @ OAKMacKenzie Gore vs J.T. Ginn72Lean NRFIpending
SEA @ HOUEmerson Hancock vs Hayden Wesneski69Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
BOS @ PITSonny Gray vs Jared Jones65Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
ARI @ ATLEduardo Rodriguez vs Grant Holmes64Lean NRFI2 runs✗ miss
KC @ LAARandy Dobnak vs Reid Detmers64Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
PHI @ MINJesús Luzardo vs Connor Prielipp63Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
CHW @ DETAnthony Kay vs Troy Melton60Lean NRFIpending
SD @ CLETBD vs Joey Cantillo55Toss-up2 runspush
COL @ SFMichael Lorenzen vs Logan Webb54Toss-up0 runspush
WSH @ NYMBrad Lord vs Sean Manaea53Toss-up2 runspush
MIA @ CINRyan Gusto vs Brady Singer44Toss-up0 runspush
STL @ CHCMichael McGreevy vs Matthew Boyd42Toss-up3 runspush

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.