NRFI Picks — Sunday, August 16, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 6-4

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
MIL @ LADLogan Henderson vs Tarik Skubal99Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
NYY @ TORRyan Weathers vs Dylan Cease94Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
BOS @ PITPatrick Sandoval vs Lake Bachar70Lean NRFI2 runs✗ miss
SEA @ HOUBryan Woo vs Hunter Brown69Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
ARI @ ATLMichael Soroka vs Bryce Elder63Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
CHW @ DETSean Burke vs Drew Anderson63Lean NRFIpending
COL @ SFGabriel Hughes vs Blade Tidwell61Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
MIA @ CINEury Pérez vs Nick Lodolo60Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
SD @ CLECasey Mize vs Tanner Bibee58Toss-up0 runspush
BAL @ TBTrevor Rogers vs Freddy Peralta49Toss-up0 runspush
WSH @ NYMJake Irvin vs Christian Scott47Toss-up0 runspush
TEX @ OAKCody Bradford vs Jacob Lopez45Toss-uppending
KC @ LAANoah Cameron vs Ryan Johnson32Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
STL @ CHCHunter Dobbins vs Edward Cabrera32Lean YRFI2 runs✓ hit
PHI @ MINAndrew Painter vs Dean Kremer28Lean YRFI4 runs✓ hit

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.