NRFI Picks — Monday, August 17, 2026

11 games scored before first pitch. 9 graded · leans went 4-3

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
MIA @ PHIJanson Junk vs Cristopher Sánchez77Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
BAL @ TBBrandon Young vs Shane McClanahan72Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
SD @ NYMWalker Buehler vs Nolan McLean61Lean NRFI2 runs✗ miss
ATL @ MINMartín Pérez vs Bailey Ober60Lean NRFI4 runs✗ miss
DET @ PITFramber Valdez vs Carmen Mlodzinski47Toss-up2 runspush
OAK @ KCMason Barnett vs Michael Wacha44Toss-uppending
ARI @ BOSMitch Bratt vs TBD42Toss-up0 runspush
CHW @ CHCLuis Castillo vs Shota Imanaga39Lean YRFIpending
STL @ CINTBD vs Rhett Lowder39Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
STL @ CINTBD vs Rhett Lowder39Lean YRFI2 runs✓ hit
LAD @ COLBlake Snell vs Tomoyuki Sugano36Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.