NRFI Picks — Tuesday, August 18, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 3-6

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
TOR @ TBJosé Soriano vs Nick Martinez96Strong NRFI2 runs✗ miss
SEA @ MILBryce Miller vs Kyle Harrison91Strong NRFI1 run✗ miss
SD @ NYMRobbie Ray vs Zac Thornton74Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
DET @ PITKeider Montero vs Braxton Ashcraft71Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
MIA @ PHICade Gibson vs Zack Wheeler63Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
NYY @ BALCarlos Rodón vs Shane Baz62Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
WSH @ TEXJackson Kent vs Cal Quantrill61Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
STL @ CINKyle Leahy vs Andrew Abbott50Toss-up0 runspush
SF @ CLECarson Whisenhunt vs Foster Griffin43Toss-up3 runspush
ARI @ BOSMerrill Kelly vs Ranger Suarez41Toss-up3 runspush
CHW @ CHCTBD vs Kevin Gausman40Toss-uppending
OAK @ KCJack Perkins vs TBD40Toss-uppending
ATL @ MINTyler Mahle vs Zebby Matthews40Toss-up2 runspush
LAD @ COLEric Lauer vs Ryan Feltner19Strong YRFI2 runs✓ hit
LAA @ HOUGeorge Klassen vs Cristian Javier12Strong YRFI0 runs✗ miss

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.